Cryptocurrencies – Recent Highlights and the Road Ahead

Well it’s been quite a week for crypto! After too many months of no significant action, things are (finally) starting to come to a head. I’ll briefly discuss the highlights by fitting them in under the simple headings of “Bitcoin” and “Altcoins”.

Bitcoin

The recent Bitcoin price dip to below $7500 was not a surprise. I, like many other analysts, both expected it and welcomed it as a buying opportunity. Most of us (myself included) expected it to dip further. Indeed, I had yet to have a buy order fill (silly me). What we didn’t expect was a rapid BTC rise. Twice.

That the reason for those rises is still open to debate, indicates that (as usual) nobody REALLY knows the real reason behind them. Bullish sentiment appears to be partly from short squeezes, but mainly from FOMO about pro-blockchain comments made by Chinese president Xi Jinping. No doubt the full story is more complex than that, but FOMO never bothers with getting all the facts.

Despite the rapid rise, a little messing around on my charts reveals that BTC MAY still be in a descending channel.

I emphasise that this is just a theory, but I wouldn’t rule it out. My gut feel (which is often wrong when it comes to crypto) suggests that prices may yet again dip lower in the channel. I still believe that BTC has to reach the vicinity of its long-term trendline (approximate position indicated below) before it can begin to climb properly. Granted: the exact position of that trendline is hardly cast in stone.

The massive volume increase which followed the Bitcoin price rise is indicative of just how much (dumb) money is just waiting in the wings – waiting for some sort of confirmation that bitcoin is not going
to crash to zero before it decides to invest.

Altcoins

I have never been impressed by the altcoin bashing that has been so prevalent ever since the Bitcoin Maximalists greatly and suddenly multiplied in number starting in mid-2018. I consider altcoin bashing to be rather immature and short-sighted. As sure as my name is Bit Brain, most of the altcoin bashers will flip and become some of the biggest pro-altcoin campaigners when altcoin season returns.

Altcoin season has threatened to return on several occasions, though we have no positive confirmation of that happening yet. Of course there will always be isolated instances, such as Chainlink which is doing
very well at the moment. I can only shake my head in dismay as I see the Chainlink supporters declare their coin to be bulletproof and capable of decimating all the others. Guys – Chainlink is good, but it REALLY isn’t
anything super-special!

Before I get too far off-topic, I think that altcoin season WILL return very shortly, and I strongly suggest (as I have been doing for over a year now!) that investors stock up on all the ridiculously, laughably, insanely, insert-superlative-herely cheap altcoins that are currently available.

This last year has given us considerable new insight into the possible long-term nature of BTC dominance (seen below). It appears that BTC dominance will probably cease to increase now, freeing up a lot of money to be invested in altcoins.

From https://www.coingecko.com/en/global_charts; modified by Bit Brain

The SHITPERP Index (that’s a real thing, I promise) which tracks the performance of selected altcoins is indicating the same thing. It’s chart shows a double-bottom, indicative of a transition from losing value to gaining value.

President Xi Jinping’s comments (referenced earlier) seem to be having a direct effect on Chinese coins. I have noticed my beloved NEO doing exceptionally well ever since BTC took-off this weekend. The same applies to some of my other Chinese coins such as Ontology (ONT) and THEKEY (TKY). I have been saying for a LONG time that Chinese altcoins is where the smart crypto money should be. I’m sticking to that.

China definitely seems to be looking more blockchain friendly than both the US and the EU at the moment. Combined with their rise to global economic and military dominance (sorry USA, that is happening), I’m feeling VERY good about my Chinese altcoin investments.

BUT:

Note that Xi Jinping is talking about BLOCKCHAINS, not cryptocurrencies! I honestly think that the Chinese crypto hype is premature. Sure, it’s a GREAT idea to get in very early at ultra-low prices, but I don’t think that the current FOMO wave is thinking along those lines; they’re just thinking “China” = “pro-crypto” = “Chinese crypto to the Moon”; which is not necessarily the case. Chinese authorities appear to want blockchain tech that they can control, that’s NOT crypto!

It is however true that Xi Jinping is a visionary and that he knows the importance of not getting left behind in the blockchain race. In the long-run I believe that China will come around to the realisation that decentralised blockchains are the ones that work best and that centralised ones (like many reserve banks are currently investigating, or like Zuckerberg’s shitcoin extraordinaire) are doomed to fail thanks to the transparency and forced accountability that blockchains offer. It’s worth remembering that the Chinese government has been trialling THEKEY for several months already. I also remind you that Da Hongfei got WAY ahead of the game and helped China develop Chinese blockchain regulations about two years ago – regulations he built NEO (and by extension, Ontology too) around…

Looking to the future of alts, my crypto investing suggestions remain unchanged:

1) Good Chinese coins (NEO is still by far the best example, but others (e.g. VeChain) – are also worthy of consideration)

2) Good Exchange coins (My best bets are: Binance (BNB), KuCoin (KCS) and Nash Exchange (NEX) – all of which I have referral links to in my signature block)

3) Good Platform coins (you guessed it: NEO again! Other coins that I would recommend in this category are EOS, Ether (ETH), Ontology (ONT), Tron (TRX) and Holochain (HOT).

4) Other coins which have good use cases, especially the neglected ones which have survived the extremely harsh altcoin winter. Yes, I STILL love CargoX (CXO) (check them out at www.cargox.io and tell me what’s NOT to like!), but there are many others such as Kyber (KNC), Enjin coin (ENJ), UTrust (UTK), TenX (PAY), Worldwide Asset Exchange (WAX), OmiseGo (OMG) – too many to list. Just remember: “Favourite” does not equal “Good”!

Final Word

To my fellow NEO investors, it’s good to see NEO getting some LONG overdue attention, but be prepared for the FOMO-turns-to-FUD price drops which are sure to come. Like most good investments, NEO’s strength will lie in its long-term performance.

Yours in crypto

Bit Brain

Featured image in the public domain. Sourced from https://knowyourmeme.com/memes/its-over-9000

All uncaptioned charts made by Bit Brain with TradingView

“The secret to success: find out where people are going and get there first” 

~ Mark Twain

“Crypto does not require institutional investment to succeed; institutions require crypto investments to remain successful” 

~ Bit Brain

Bit Brain recommends:

Crypto Exchanges:




? Shilling my Bags! ?

 

If you don’t know that, then you obviously don’t read my blog often enough, what’s wrong with you? ?

What I WILL do is to give you some amazing suggestions based on coins and tokens which I already hold. I’m about to do just that.

CargoX (CXO)

Ah yes! Still my favourite low market cap coin and still ridiculously cheap, CargoX has some more good news for us. Having already succeeded in launching their “Smart B/L” product, CargoX continued to work on their Blockchain Document Transaction System (BDTS). It’s more than just a big name. In their latest move, they have added a “Smart L/C” to the BDTS platform.

An LC is a “Letter of Credit”, a document which plays a vital role in global logistics systems. This little Wikipedia article explains them nicely: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Letter_of_credit.

According to their monthly email, the Smart L/C has been developed, but still requires testing. Once completely tested and integrated, it and the Smart B/L (Bill of Lading) will enable CargoX to make paper documentation in logistics transactions a thing of the past. While the shipping industry that CargoX targets is still slow to embrace change, I believe that it’s just a matter of time before they realise the cost savings to be had by using this platform. I remain extremely bullish on CXO.

Perhaps, I’m not the only one realising this: Since mid-June, the volume of CXO has risen by approximately 3x. Better still: while it was often traded more on CoinTiger than on KuCoin, that relationship has now been completely reversed. KuCoin trades (specifically the CXO/ETH pair) now far outweigh CoinTiger trades. This means that the KuCoin CXO/ETH pair has actually grown in volume by a factor of about 9! (From around $10000/day to $90000/day.) With KuCoin being one of the most trustworthy exchanges out there (according to the recent “reported vs actual volumes” exchanges study by The TIE) this is very good news for CXO!

From https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/cargox

 

Which brings us to…

 

KuCoin

My favourite exchange and the home of KuCoin Shares (KCS) is at it again. I can not believe how much good news is coming from this wonderful exchange!

Yesterday KuCoin launched the public beta of KuMEX, it’s new derivatives platform.

“KuMEX will firstly open the Bitcoin Perpetual Contract (XBTUSDM) which is quoted in USD and denominated in Bitcoin and offers up to 20 times leverage. The platform currently supports three types of order: limit order, market order and stop order. After the official release of KuMEX, the platform will use 50% of the net revenue from KuMEX for KCS Bonus distribution for KCS holders.” 

While I am strongly against derivatives trading of crypto, especially with leverage, I realise that not everybody thinks that way. This should be a popular platform that will contribute greatly to the exposure of KuCoin. From the quote above, we can also see that it should have massive benefit for KCS holders.

Of course ever since Binance announced that Binance.com would be shutting down US operations in September, crypto traders have been rushing to find other good exchanges. I immediately noticed the interest grow in Nash Exchange (NEX) and KuCoin. But as of late June, this suddenly really kicked into gear: KuCoin volume has skyrocketed!

From https://www.coingecko.com/en/exchanges/kucoin

 

But wait, I’m not done with KuCoin yet! They also implemented a new weekly temporary KCS token “Buy Back and Burn Plan” which will run for the duration of Q3 2019. I’m afraid that I don’t have much information on why this has been implemented or what is to replace it in Q4, but it will run in addition to the existing quarterly token burns (which you can track here: https://kcs.kucoin.com). This is more great news for KCS holders – people who already get free KCS dividends paid to them daily! KuCoin state that they will use 10% of profits for token burns and that this Temporary Plan will “substantially increase” the amount of KCS that is burnt. How long have I been telling you to buy KCS now?…

Oh, one last thing: they’ve also launched their Over-The-Counter trading desk.

All of that happened within the first 8 days of July, put off buying KCS at your own peril…

NEO

No Bit Brain shill post would be complete without mentioning NEO! As part of my new resolution to keep you more in the loop about NEO happenings, I feel that I should inform you of NEO’s EcoBoost Plan.

Yes, I know that Ford manufactures EcoBoost engines – No, they are not related.

NEO’s EcoBoost plan is a three-phase, $100 million plan designed to:

  • Recruit Partners
  • Recruit Projects
    • In NEO’s words: “further enrich the community, incentivize developers with existing products, and encourage projects to seed even better projects”
  • Accelerate the Launch of Projects

You can read more about it here: https://neo.org/blog/details/4158

My bags are shilled, my job is done. ? Now the decision making is up to you.

I own all these coins in relatively large amounts and I won’t be selling them – even if BTC continues to murder altcoins. Read into that what you will.

 

Yours in crypto

Bit Brain

“The secret to success: find out where people are going and get there first” 

~ Mark Twain

“Crypto does not require institutional investment to succeed; institutions require crypto investments to remain successful” 

~ Bit Brain

Bit Brain recommends:

Crypto Exchanges:





NEO news

 
I spend a lot of time saying “buy NEO”, but admittedly, not a lot of time saying why.
I don’t like people to buy something without researching it. Anyone who bothers to research NEO properly will buy it, they’ll sell their own grandmothers for NEO if necessary. Sadly it appears that most folks are too lazy to research NEO (or they REALLY love their grandmothers), they’d rather just follow the regular hype and buy whatever is trending. This is how vapourware like ADA stays in the top ten, or how centralised, over-supplied rubbish like XRP becomes a leading coin. Sheep are

Crypto East vs West

 
Apologies for the slightly clickbaity heading: I’m playing on the topic of the US China Trade War.
While the Trade War doesn’t directly influence crypto, it surely plays a roll. I believe that as inevitable market crunches loom nearer, so crypto will become ever more attractive as an investment asset – specifically as a high ROI store-of-value. We all know that crypto isn’t as stable as gold, but gold can’t offer the returns that crypto does. Obviously that is bullish for crypto in the long-run.
But that’s not what I wanted to tell you today; today I want to draw your attention

Channelling NEO

No this has nothing to do with conjuring spirits (wouldn’t it be funny if I blogged about this on Medium? ), besides, psychics, mediums etc are a bunch of charlatan frauds who prey on gullibility for profit – much like many scam cryptos out there! 

I seldom blog about my favourite crypto, I’m not sure why. Perhaps I subconsciously assume that because I know all about it, so does everyone else. Maybe I should work at actively placing more NEO information into my blog posts, rather than just saying how great it is all the time.

Anyway, today I AM blogging about NEO because I