BITCOIN: Still having doubts about the count?

well…. I confess I had a moment of “panic” yessterday when I saw BITCOIN rising up a little but the doubt was obviously temporary because what we see now is a perfect “fit” of BITCOIN and my proposed EW Count.

You can read the calls I did here (3 days ago) , here (4 days ago) and here (almost a week ago)…

The formation is clear, 3-3-5 Flat correction.

There are at least two possibilities:

  • BTC has touched support already at 9400 USD
  • BTC will touch support at least at 8800 USD which is the projected target of the HS pattern

One of my buying orders have been filled already at 9400 USD… the second is waiting for a further oversold condition at the RSI indicator.

Just one comment more…I think the correction is done but, as usual, no one can be 100% sure… so, do your own research and proper assessment before taking any decision but… in my opinion we are going UP soon!!!!!

Enjoy!

@toofasteddie


Disclaimer: This is just my personal point of view, please, do your own assessment and act consequently. Neither this post nor myself is responsible of any of your profit/losses obtained as a result of this information.


BITCOIN: Trading Volume inclined to TETHER

Not only altcoins have been suffering the market correction…People, trying to increase desperately their stakes on BITCOIN is what we have seen these days…Everyone is panic selling their altcoins in order to avoid losing further…but this action does not avoid at all the losses since what we can see today is that the 24h volume of TETHER (USDT) is increasing while BITCOIN volume is decreasing…

During the past few days the volume between Tether and BITCOIN has stayed under equilibrium, in a proportion of 1 to 1, meaning that, for instance, we had exactly the same amount of Volume (24h) as you can see below in the pic I get yesterday:

Now, we have 1 Billion difference, meaning that BITCOIN is being Shortening .

I confess I did sell some BTC a couple of days ago as well, since the forecast seems clear and the count launches a 3-3-5 Correction…

Now, I am going to be focused on two main price levels:

  • The range between 9400 and 9700 USD
  • The 8800 USD price level which is the target of the HS pattern.

Observing these two levels can bring me the chance to get between 17 and 25% more bitcoin and so getting more BTC for the same amount of FIAT (Dollar averaging).

Let’s see how the market evolves.

@toofasteddie


Disclaimer: This is just my personal point of view, please, do your own assessment and act consequently. Neither this post nor myself is responsible of any of your profit/losses obtained as a result of this information.

Why You Should Self Manage Your First Rental Property

When it comes to investing my favorite saying is “experience is the best teacher.”  It is something that holds true in much of life, but I love how experience has a positive financial impact on my future real estate investments.

Why You Should Self Manage Your First Rental Property

This is one of the reasons I believe everyone should self-manage their first rental property.  This is assuming you can of course.  If you are investing out of state to start then it may not be an option, but for anyone with a place less than 2 hours away the experience is valuable.

What does good management look like?

Here’s the thing about hiring property management.  How do you know if they are any good if you have no idea what managing a property entails.

Now, of course there is the tag line “no one will look after your own investment as well as yourself” but that does not mean property management is a bad idea.

You just need to know what you are looking for.

Here are a couple examples of experiences I’m glad I had before turning to property management:

1.) Tenant Screening Process

I can tell you first hand – screening tenants is a bit of a pain.  However, once you do this process yourself you will know exactly what you are looking for in a tenant.

Granted much of the criteria is dictated by fair housing laws, but there are plenty of variables that you are allowed to decide for yourself.  Things such as credit and pets, for example.

More important though is the actions of the applicant.  I once had a lovely couple with a young child apply for a property.  I was very happy with what I saw from them, but when it came to getting me pay tubs and such, something that should take a day, they struggled to supply them.

It wasn’t like they were lying about employment as I knew where the guy worked and the type of money made in his position.  He was just that much of a disorganized mess.  Doesn’t bode well for getting my rent on time and the property being taken care of.

After a few days passed by I told them I had to go with someone else.

The tenant I went with was awesome, she supplied me everything right away.  Was always punctual and stayed in the unit for two years before moving out of the area.

In fact, when she moved out the place was in such good shape I didn’t have any turnover.  No repainting, no wall patching, nothing.   Not every tenant will be like that, but what a dream.

You value stuff like that when you have a tenant much the opposite, which I have had.  When it came time to turnover the property, it felt more like a rehab.  Deposit money only gets you so far.  Quality of tenant still counts.

I guess it’s the nuances that make a difference within all the standard criteria.

2.) How is that lease looking?

When you research leases and acquire even a standard one for your state it gives you a much better idea of what you can and can’t do.

I always advise having a lawyer look at your lease to ensure you are on the right side of the law, but remember there are many options you can decide on in your lease.

Along with the aforementioned pets policy, how about things like broken glass, unlicensed vehicles and minor plumbing issues?

These are just examples and are items that may not be in the lease the property management company uses.

Plus, how do you know where you stand on these items until you have had to decide and experience what works.

Final Thoughts…

Self-managing my first three properties was an invaluable experience.  It is very easy for me to tell when a property manager is doing a solid job or doesn’t have there stuff together.

Yes, there were times I hated self-managing, like that one month when all three properties had issues.  That happened one time though over that three year span.

If you are able to self manage at first, why not get the experience?  Good Luck!


You can learn the ins and outs of investing in rental properties through the scaredycatguide to investing in rental properties video series.

BITCOIN: Refining the count

As I wrote before, everything seems to indicate a 3-3-5 Flat Correction and I don’t like the “shape” of this chart at all… even more when I see a very ugly H&S pattern in formation right now…

Volume keeps falling and the 11300 USD resistance is acting strongly as so, there is a lot of selling pressure at that level.

I am keeping the 9400 USD support as a good one historically but the H&S pattern is pointing 8800 USD as a target if BITCOIN falls below 11000 USD right now…both levels should be good enough for BITCOIN to rebound and reach new highs.

Regarding the expected “altcoin Season”

The total 24-hours trading Volume is currently at 60 Billion, 20 Billion ascribed to Tether and 20 Billions to Bitcoin, the rest is divided among the others top 100 altcoins….

This proportion of 33% for Tether and 33% to Bitcoin is almost constant…what means is that there is no altcoin season for the moment but only BITCOIN and USDT accumulation.

The future scenario of the whole market is now on play.

@toofasteddie


Disclaimer: This is just my personal point of view, please, do your own assessment and act consequently. Neither this post nor myself is responsible of any of your profit/losses obtained as a result of this information.

BITCOIN: Seems a 3-3-5 Flat correction and..

…it probably is.

I am keeping observing and following up this chart.

3 lines confining the move right now and I do not find a probable bull pattern but a Flat correction if the volume does not help us.

At the 4-hour chart the most realistic count in my opinion claims for 5 waves down towards 9400 USD support.

(C) must be lower than (A) and this last touched the 9700 USD so I think 9400 may be a good ground to rebound on.

In order to keep a Bullish continuation, BITCOIN should move from that level upper than the higher high of the year, almost around 14000 USD…

Will see what happens in the coming days, if we keep ranging, falling further or finally ending the correction…

The future scenario of the whole market is now on play.

@toofasteddie


Disclaimer: This is just my personal point of view, please, do your own assessment and act consequently. Neither this post nor myself is responsible of any of your profit/losses obtained as a result of this information.

BITCOIN: Alternative count…

for an invalidated Bullish count…

Recognizing that my previous count, bullish, has been recently invalidated…

Does not look to be an alternative bullish count right now, the correction is not finished and what I see fro the moment is a possible 3-3-5 FLAT Correction.

Hope I am wrong, but if not, 9400 USD should be the stronger support…


Disclaimer: This is just my personal point of view, please, do your own assessment and act consequently. Neither this post nor myself is responsible of any of your profit/losses obtained as a result of this information.


BITCOIN: Correcting but still upwards?

Quick update here…

It is clear that 13000 USD is a very strong resistance level. BITCOIN is now correcting after touching that value in the past few hours.

However, I am still confident of considering 14500 USD as a realistic target as planned 6 days ago in this post .

Also because I think this correction is forming the 4th wave of the Violet 5-waves count, so, still a 5th is missing.

This correction may “enrolled” further buyers who felt that they were late a few hours ago and I believe it should push again the price upwards…If so, a new Year’s High will come and the current resistance at 13000 USD will become our newer support.

The only thing I hope is that the new wave up will come mainly from “Fresh” FIAT and not mainly from the altcoins which are really being devastated by the Crypto King, including STEEM of course.

@toofasteddie


Disclaimer: This is just my personal point of view, please, do your own assessment and act consequently. Neither this post nor myself is responsible of any of your profit/losses obtained as a result of this information.

BITCOIN: iHS triggered?

Just a couple of days ago I was writing a post about an interesting pattern in formation. It was an Inverted Head and Shoulder pattern and I told it has the potential to allow a continuation trend upwards with a target of 14500 USD.

The following was the pattern I was talking about:

And what we can see right now is that after breaking the neckline at 11760 USD the volume is increasing consistently:



Those two higher bars at the volume of the 4 Hour chart may indicate an acceleration of the price action and so it is what is exactly occurring. A good example of one of the most succeed patterns in TA, in this case it is acting as a continuation pattern on a Bullish Scenario.

The target of this pattern points right now towards a new High of the year around 14500 USD, will see how close BITCOIN will be from that level in some hours from now.

As usual, pay attention to the chart and anticipate the move in order to get the most from it.

@toofasteddie

Disclaimer: This is just my personal point of view, please, do your own assessment and act consequently. Neither this post nor myself is responsible of any of your profit/losses obtained as a result of this information.

Intermarket Relative Strength Analysis Report For The Week Starting 7/7/19

Instead of looking at financial markets or asset classes on an individual basis, intermarket analysis looks at several strongly correlated markets or asset classes, such as stocks, bonds and commodities. This type of analysis expands on simply looking at each individual market or asset in isolation by also looking at other markets or assets that have a strong relationship to the market or asset being considered.

The US economy is still the largest in the world and the US dollar is still the most powerful currency in the world.  Over half of all foreign currency reserves in the world are in US dollars.  Thus, the asset classes relative strength will be compared to the US Dollar.

Bitcoin

30 Yr Bond

Copper

Euro Dollar

Gold

Oil

Soybeans

S&P 500

Based on the moving averages and the last daily closing price, relative to the moving averages,

the asset classes’ relative strength, relative to the US Dollar are the following:

Two Weeks Ago

This post is my personal opinion. I’m not a financial advisor, this isn’t financial advise. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

World Stock Market Relative Strength Analysis Report For Week Starting 7/7/19

The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index (known commonly as the S&P 500) is an index with 500 of the top companies in the U.S. Stocks. Because the S&P 500 Index represents approximately 80% of the total value of the U.S. stock market, it’s the bellwether index for the U.S. stock market. In addition, the U.S. stock market is the largest stock market in the world, it’s also the bellweather for equity markets around the world. The S&P 500 is arguably the most important stock market index on the planet.

Source Image

Because we live in a global economy, the global equity markets interconnected and highly correlated.  However, some will outperformance other in the short term and long term. When constructing an equity portfolio, for the best returns one needs to have the ability and the capacity to assess all the major equity markets around to asset allocation purposes.  However, the first step is to determine the relative strength of the major equity markets, relative to the bellweather, the S&P 500.

DAX (Germany)

Dow Jones (US)

FTSE 100 (England)

Nasdaq (US)

Nifty 50 (India)

Nikkei 225 (Japan)

Shanghai (China)

Russell 2000 (US)

Based on the moving averages and the last daily closing price, relative to the moving averages,

the world equity markets’ relative strength, relative to the S&P 500 are the following:

Two Weeks Ago

This post is my personal opinion. I’m not a financial advisor, this isn’t financial advise. Do your own research before making investment decisions.