Personal Crypto Strategies

I doubt that many of you have studied “Strategy” as an academic subject. It’s hardly something used in the everyday life of most people.

But in military circles and in the upper echelons of civilian National Strategy, it does play an important role.

Before I relate strategies to cryptocurrencies, we need to level the playing field. When I say the word “strategy”, we need to all have a common understanding of what that means. 

What is a “Strategy”?

Warfare is conducted at various levels. The three main levels are tactical, operational and strategic.

Tactical happens on the battlefield. Tactical decisions are made by unit commanders and their teams. The choice to use grenades instead of suppressive machine gun fire is a tactical one. The option of detaching a squad to flank an enemy that your platoon is fighting is a tactical one.

Operational decisions are made by those in charge of several fighting units. The operational commander would make decisions such as deploying the platoon to the battlefield in the first place. He would be given an objective and a variety of forces. How he (or she) employs those forces is an operational level consideration.

Strategic decisions are made by those who earn too much money and are too far away from the real action. Okay, that’s just me being facetious (but it’s still true). A strategy is an overarching plan encompassing all available forces. A strategy tells you how you are going to meet a specific goal, and what that goal is e.g. “repel Hussein’s invading forces from Kuwait”. At the national level you can also get “Grand Strategies” – which are basically very long-term goal that your shorter-term strategies align with. Don’t worry too much about Grand Strategies.

Ends, Ways and Means

In very simple terms, a strategy is comprised of three main things: Ends, Ways and Means.

If we are to apply a strategy to crypto, then we need to understand the relationship between these concepts.

Ends are the goals of strategies. As the name suggests, they are your desired endpoint. Once your ends have been achieved, your strategy has succeeded. Depending on what those ends are, your strategies may no longer even be required after reaching them. 

Example: “To neutralise all enemy military forces in the Pacific theatre of war”.

Ways are the methods of achieving Ends. The Ways are the “How?”, “When?” and “Where?” – they are what you are going to do.

Example: “We will cut off fuel supplies to enemy air and naval assets in the Pacific, thereby causing them to run out of operationally deployable fighting forces over the period of the next month”.

Means are the tools used to execute the Ways. The means are the “Who” and the “What?” of the Ways

Example: “Special forces will be deployed from submarines to destroy the enemy’s hardened underground fuel depots. Naval forces will destroy fuel refineries and pipelines from over the horizon. Air Force units will destroy fuel transport vehicles and ad hoc targets of opportunity”.

We can apply this to crypto.

Crypto Strategies

On the Grand Strategy level we can say that crypto exists to replace world money systems and to disrupt and replace the existing money/power dynamic. That’s way beyond what we as individuals can do. We all play a little part of that larger game, but it’s not what this post is about. Let’s rather look at whatyou can influence to a large degree, what You can do for Yourself.

So you’re a crypto investor, or a trader, or both. Perhaps you work for a crypto company, or perhaps you started your own crypto company. Maybe you just enjoy writing about it in blogs like the one you’re reading now, or maybe you watch adverts on Brave browser all day so that you can build up free BAT tokens and give tips to sites that depend on voluntary funding. 

Whatever you do with crypto, it’s time to start asking yourself: What’s my endgame?

Why are you doing what you are doing? What is the logical conclusion? What are you trying to achieve? Where and when does it stop?

In other words: What are the Ends of your strategy?

Do you have them? Are they well defined? Do you know exactly what you want crypto to do for you?

Admission of guilt

I don’t have a proper crypto strategy! 

I have broad crypto investing strategies. I have a few fairly well-defined goals which I aim to meet, but honestly, I lack that endpoint. I’m writing this today because when I realised this, I realised that others may be in the same boat.

A Crypto Strategy is NOT:

“I want to reach a total of 100 BTC by 2030” or “I want 1 million USD worth of crypto” or “I want to survive the fiat crash by investing in crypto”.

Why not?

Because crypto ISN’T an End, it’s not even a Way; it’s a Means to an End.

You’ve heard the expression “means to an end” before? Now you know where it comes from. ?

Get a strategy

I was walking around my garden earlier today, playing with my dogs and enjoying relaxing outside under the clear blue sky. I was extremely content, but bothered because I knew that my contentment came from shutting out the many evils of the world that I am only too aware of.

For now I fight those evils daily. I have been very active in challenging my government this year: there is a long paper trail of me, both in my personal capacity and aligned with multiple civic groups, opposing injustices at every turn. Similarly, I try to fight the bigger international fight (in support of the Grand Strategy of crypto mentioned earlier), some of which you can see on this very blog or on my Twitter account.

But I’m just one man and I can’t do it alone. I realise that I am not doing it alone: many great people fight alongside me – some in small ways, some in big ways. You may be one of them. I won’t stay young forever. I also know (thanks to years of high stress military deployments) that my capacity to endure a high intensity struggle in a negative environment is finite.

In simple terms: I can’t do this forever.

At some stage I need to say that enough is enough, and hand the torch over to the next generation. I need to cash in my chips and leave the casino. I need to be able to sit in my garden and play with my dogs under the clear blue sky, while not worrying about the evils of the world.

But for now, I am still furiously playing the game. What I need to do next is to further align my daily activities with my desired end goal: I need to define the Ends of my strategy and work towards them.

Exactly how I do that will be my Ways. I can only firmly establish those once I know the Ends. I trust that my crypto investments will be the Means, or at least one of the Means I will use to execute my Ways.

The End State (Ends of the Strategy)

I may not have well defined end state to my strategy yet, but I know some of the characteristics that I want it to possess: financial freedom, a pleasant political and social environment in a country which embraces true liberty, a relaxed lifestyle in a safe environment, the ability to work on relationships rather than business and finances etc. 

It may sound idyllic and a bit like a pipe dream, but it’s something to work towards. I might not find something that checks all the boxes, but at least those boxes give me a target to aim for.

For those who seek to form their own strategies: an example of a Way to achieve something like what I stated above could be: “reduce fiat holdings to a bare minimum” or “aim to build up 10 BTC in crypto” or one of those other things that I said are not a strategy in themselves.

Conclusion

Life is a journey, and crypto is a part of that journey. God willing, my journey will allow for a period of rest towards the end, a time when I can pull off the busy highway and spend a few years at my final destination in peace and quiet. I can’t tell if that will be possible, but I will do what I can to make that an eventual reality. That is my plan, my End, my strategy.

Until then, I will keep fighting the crypto (and other) battles. Evil triumphs when good men do nothing. If evil is ever going to triumph, then it’s going to have to go through me first. I still have a good couple of decades of fight left in me, before I retire and seek out my version of a Utopian little house with a white picket fence. 

Advice time: if you are still young, plan for your future as if you were suddenly going to turn 80 tomorrow. You have no idea how fast time and ageing catches up with you. I did a pretty good job of planning for old age when I was still young, but even so I wish I had done more. Your generation has so much more available to it: electronic banking, broadband internet, cryptocurrencies, easily accessible trading options for precious metals/forex/etc – you can do a LOT more than I did if you start early!

Despite a very strong American and international business culture to the contrary, money is not everything. Money is not “success”! Money will NEVER make you happy. As long as you can lift yourself above the level of “financially struggling” (which can be very hard to do), you can be happy. Try to make a few clever investments while you are still young, so that money is no longer a worry when you are older. Then you can enjoy life. 

Look at Warren Buffett: 89 years old, worth 84 Billion USD – but do you think he’s ever enjoyed his life? Do you think he’s ever stopped to smell the roses? I think he’s a miserable old sod, a greedy and small-minded man who cares far too much about wealth and not nearly enough about the things that matter. He’s too busy greedily hoarding his money to ever enjoy spending it! Don’t be like Warren.

Yours in crypto

Bit Brain

All charts made by Bit Brain with TradingView

“The secret to success: find out where people are going and get there first” 

~ Mark Twain

“Crypto does not require institutional investment to succeed; institutions require crypto investments to remain successful” 

~ Bit Brain

Bit Brain recommends:

Crypto Exchanges:




STEEM is rising…

I wonder why…

But just by having a look at the @steemit account and its “operational” withdrawing account , aka @gsr-io, at Steemworld I think I get reason why.

@steemit haven’t stopped powering down… actually is transferring a big amount of liquid steem to @gsr-io , as usual, very regularly which is currently “storing” around 600000 Liquid Steem but…

You know what?

The last withdrawing operation straight to the exchanges from that account, @gsr-io , was placed on August the 12th…

No more transfers since then, and this is a great NEW because the frequency of these operations were set at least on a weekly basis if not in less time…

Consequences? Selling pressure is relaxing, people is buying maybe because Hardfork21 is approaching and that could create some expectatives…but the most important is that they stop selling…for the moment, remember that there are around 600000 Steem at the “Launching” account and around 2M Liquid Steem more ready to be transferred…

I hope they will keep for some days more the selling pressure low…however, they are not fools at all…

Sellers have to sell…

@toofasteddie

Bitcoin: Are Bears Taking Control?

Bitcoin continues to consolidate on top of support at $10,650. Bears are threatening a major break down, while bulls defend $10,000.

Screen Shot 2019-08-20 at 2.18.16 PM.png

In today’s video we’ll discuss a few different scenarios, including a large potential bear trap. We’ll also discuss key areas to watch and so much more. I hope you find it helpful.

Video Analysis:

If you don’t see the above video, navigate to TIMM (https://mentormarket.io/profile/?workin2005/) or Steemit in order to watch.

I hope this has been helpful. I’d be happy to answer any questions in the comment section below. Until next time, wishing you safe and profitable trading.

Workin

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Bitcoin: All Consolidation Must End

Bitcoin continues to consolidate within a massive range between $12,400 and $9,400.

In today’s video we discuss where bitcoin may be heading next, key areas to watch and so much more. I hope you find it helpful.

Video Analysis:

If you don’t see the above video, navigate to TIMM (https://mentormarket.io/profile/?workin2005/) or Steemit in order to watch.

I hope this has been helpful. I’d be happy to answer any questions in the comment section below. Until next time, wishing you safe and profitable trading.

Workin

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Total Market Decision Point

Putting aside what BITCOIN is doing lately, it is worth to check as well what the TOTAL crypto market does.

It is a fact that BITCOIN is being feed mainly by the altcoins in the present days since doesn’t look that “fresh” FIAT is entering at the market nowadays, that’s why looking at the BITCOIN chart versus USD can be a little bit misleading since there is a lot of selling pressure for BTC by the altcoins side

However, as I wrote yesterday in this post an enormous Bullish Flag has been formed as well at the Total Cryptocurrency market.

Inside this Bull flag there is a count that will fit in and may give you some hopes regarding the end of the correction is probably done. It is a Regular Flat Correction (3-3-5)


The only “but” I see in this possibility is that, in order to be considered as a “Regular Flat correction”, “B” should be just below the start of wave “A”, and, it is but perhaps so much low…

Anyway, let’s consider this count as good, if so, then the correction should be already finished and the Total Crypto Market should has finished already the first wave upwards and working on the third and more powerful wave, something like the following:


Nevertheless, as I said yesterday with the BITCOIN chart, a Bull Flag can promote at least 5 rebounds between its confining lines:


Conversely to BITCOIN’s Volume, the TOTAL MARKET Volume has decreased from the top of the year but not so much compared with the Crypto King and what I see in the Daily RSI indicator is an excellent situation for higher highs:

So, yes, IMO we are now in an important moment according to the Total Market Chart, be ready to experiment a possible sudden Price action, mostly on BITCOIN but also in other big Altcoins afterwards.

Enjoy!


Disclaimer: This is just my personal point of view, please, do your own assessment and act consequently. Neither this post nor myself is responsible of any of your profit/losses obtained as a result of this information.


Bitcoin Bulls Hit Back! Suckers Rally or Real?

Bitcoin has broken back above $10,000. Volume remains lackluster as of now.

Screen Shot 2019-07-31 at 10.35.13 AM.png

In today’s video we’ll discuss where price may be heading next, key areas to watch and so much more. I hope you find it helpful.

Video Analysis:

If you don’t see the above video, navigate to TIMM (https://mentormarket.io/profile/?workin2005/) or Steemit in order to watch.

I hope this has been helpful. I’d be happy to answer any questions in the comment section below. Until next time, wishing you safe and profitable trading.

Workin

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Bulls Trying to Hang On

Price is once again consolidating on top of the $9,400 support after a quick drop to $9,100. The larger ascending support line seems to have turned into resistance.

Screen Shot 2019-07-29 at 9.55.13 AM.png

In today’s video we’ll discuss where price may be heading next, key areas to watch and so much more. I hope you find it helpful.

Video Analysis:

If you don’t see the above video, navigate to TIMM (https://mentormarket.io/profile/?workin2005/) or Steemit in order to watch.

I hope this has been helpful. I’d be happy to answer any questions in the comment section below. Until next time, wishing you safe and profitable trading.

Workin

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Align Technology Just Got Misaligned

Align Technology, Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets a system of clear aligner therapy, intraoral scanners, and computer-aided design and computer-aided manufacturing (CAD/CAM) digital services. Align Technology is famous for making the Invisalign.

Nine months ago, the stock crashed 25% due to lower average selling prices for the Invisalign clear aligners as a result of the company running promotional programs during the third quarter that included discounts for its clear aligners and product mix changes. The CEO said the promotional programs are temporary, so the current issue seems to be temporary. Nevertheless the stock fell from all-time highs.

This past week, Align Technology announced their second quarter earnings. Despite strong growth in Europe and Brazil, the stock fell big time again.

On top of reporting an earnings miss in the quarter, Align shipped 377,100 of its core Invisalign cases which fell 5,800 units short of expectations. Hogan told CNBC’s Jim Cramer Thursday much of the weakness can be attributed to China.

China is Invisalign’s second largest market and the company hoped to see 70% growth in the second quarter, the CEO told Cramer. But Thursday’s report showed just 20%-30% growth and the weakness is not due to any competitive or operational issues.

“It’s just basically a consumer backlash right now, we feel, from a standpoint of making decisions on going ahead with aligners or not,” Hogan said.

Source

The chart suggests there is more downside risk in the stock, at least to the weekly demand at $166.

This post is my personal opinion. I’m not a financial advisor, this isn’t financial advise. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Bitcoin: Discussing the Next Move

Bitcoin continues to consolidate on top of known support at $9,400. Daily volume is around $12 billion, the lowest since April.

Screen Shot 2019-07-28 at 12.48.19 PM.png
Screen Shot 2019-07-28 at 12.36.01 PM.png

In today’s video we discuss where price may be heading next, key areas to watch, traps to avoid and so much more. I hope you find it helpful.

Video Analysis:

If you don’t see the above video, navigate to TIMM (https://mentormarket.io/profile/?workin2005/) or Steemit in order to watch.

I hope this has been helpful. I’d be happy to answer any questions in the comment section below. Until next time, wishing you safe and profitable trading.

Workin

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Intermarket Relative Strength Analysis Report For The Week Starting 7/28/19

Instead of looking at financial markets or asset classes on an individual basis, intermarket analysis looks at several strongly correlated markets or asset classes, such as stocks, bonds and commodities. This type of analysis expands on simply looking at each individual market or asset in isolation by also looking at other markets or assets that have a strong relationship to the market or asset being considered.

The US economy is still the largest in the world and the US dollar is still the most powerful currency in the world.  Over half of all foreign currency reserves in the world are in US dollars.  Thus, the asset classes relative strength will be compared to the US Dollar.

Bitcoin

30 Yr Bond

Copper

Euro Dollar

Gold

Oil

Soybeans

S&P 500

Based on the moving averages and the last daily closing price, relative to the moving averages,

the asset classes’ relative strength, relative to the US Dollar are the following:

Two Weeks Ago

This post is my personal opinion. I’m not a financial advisor, this isn’t financial advise. Do your own research before making investment decisions.