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BTC 18 Jan – Medium to Long-term forecast updates

January 18, 2019 Published by

This post is a look at how we are doing based on previous forecasts, and consequently what we can expect in the medium to long-term future.

A Bit Brain original

BTC 18 Jan – Medium to Long-term forecast updates

On 15 Jan I published a medium-term BTC forecast. The chart below is taken from that post, unmodified but for the candles that have been added since then.

So far the post holds true, BTC is still in a tapering triangle, fast approaching the breakout zone. It will reach the breakout zone approximately 24 hours from now. From that point onwards a breakout becomes likely,

BITCOIN: Triangular formation…

January 17, 2019 Published by

Remember my post yesterday and my main Two Possibilities … Should I reconsider those scenarios ? Well, you have always to review and control the Plan, however, I have to say that both possibilities are still valid but one is taking more chances to be correct…

Today, BITCOIN has been drawing a nice Triangular Pattern, One spike up (b), another one down, repeating the same level…(a), (c).

Currently another green candle seems defining the (d)…

Breakage of the triangle usually happens on (e) but it can also happen on (d) as well so, we have to pay attention to the action of Bitcoin

BITCOIN: Current Possibilities

January 16, 2019 Published by

Two Target supports, two different alternatives…

Assumption: Extended 5th still on going

Last 5th wave of the down-cycle may be composed by 5 subwaves (Brown). First wave (very long IMO) and 2nd wave completed… 3rd wave on going…

Target limit 3375 USD (Target support 2)

Assumption: 5th wave completed

1st wave (brown) up completed, building the 2nd… If BTC rebounds on the “Target support 1” around 3537 USD then the EW count is valid and the 3rd wave upwards will be formed…

Entry Target: 3540 after rebounding on the support 1.

@toofasteddie

*Disclaimer: This is just my personal point of view, please, do your own assessment and act consequently. Neither this

BITCOIN: Two possibilities, same result…

January 15, 2019 Published by

As explained yesterday… currently there are a lot of chances that the end of the correction has not been reached, and so, there may be a last move downwards in order to terminate the 5th wave down.

BITCOIN is now approaching the first target support on which I would expect some hesitance but, in order to complete the 5th wave down, I think there is a high likelihood of reaching a lower price than the one reached by the 3rd wave.

Using FIBONACCI Levels, right now BTC is touching the 61.8% of total retracement but, as you can see, does not seem

BTC medium-term – 15 Jan

January 15, 2019 Published by

A look at the medium-term future of BTC as I see it.

BTC is forming another converging triangle, making a breakout a strong possibility from next week.

The lower side of the triangle seems to have been defined. This is not a certainty at this stage – it’s not impossible that a near-future price drop redefines the triangle. I would say that there is about a 65% probability that the triangle is now in it’s final form and will not have to be redefined.

A trendline which started on 6 December continues to be my benchmark for current price movements.

The typical Breakout Zone

No Kevin, Bitcoin will NOT bite the dust – Part 3

January 15, 2019 Published by

On Sunday I wrote about an article written by economist/financial expert Kevin Dowd. It discusses why Bitcoin will become worth nothing. I disagreed, but I did not say why he was wrong. Now I am doing just that.

After I finished formatting my counter-arguments, in true Bit Brain style, I realised that they were longer than expected. This is why this is the third post of the series, the one which debunks Kevin’s second argument.

You have to have read the first post for this one to make any sense. You may find it here: https://mentormarket.io/bitbrain/no-kevin-bitcoin-will-not-bite-the-dust/.

You should also read the second post

BITCOIN: Is the correction finished?

January 14, 2019 Published by

…and the answer is also difficult.

I see two possibilities now at the 4 hour-chart.

The first one: with the last drop, BITCOIN has reached the 5th wave bottom, end of the ZIG-ZAG correction…

3rd wave longer than 1st and 5th… 5th wave short but within the expectations, since “C” is just below “A” Leg… From now on, we should see 5 waves towards the “Target Resistance” in dashed Blue line.

If BTC manages to break that resistance it would be a very good signal of Reversal…

2nd Option (among others, of course…): The assumption would be that still the 4th wave is in play

Bitcoin Technical Analysis: PRICES SPIKE, BUT DON’T GET COMFORTABLE YET

January 14, 2019 Published by

Bitcoin’s price spiked from a low of $3,480 to $3,700. It’s currently trading around $3,670 on Coinbase. We know $3,600 was acting as a strong support before prices dropped 2 days ago. Often when a support is broken, it starts acting as resistance. In this case, when price spiked, $3,600 did not act as resistance. This gives bulls some hope for a larger rally. Let’s now see if $3,600 starts acting as support again.

This latest rise in price also came with a drop in long positions. In other words, traders to profit. This is a healthy sign.

Unfortunately, overall daily volume

No Kevin, Bitcoin will NOT bite the dust – Part 2

January 14, 2019 Published by

Yesterday I wrote about an article written by economist/financial expert Kevin Dowd. It discusses why Bitcoin will become worth nothing. I disagreed, but I did not say why he was wrong. Now I am doing just that.

I have finished formulating my counter-arguments, but in true Bit Brain style, they are longer than expected. Thus I am further subdividing this post into two – I will discuss his two main arguments in one sub-post each.

For this post to make any sense, you first have to read: https://mentormarket.io/bitbrain/no-kevin-bitcoin-will-not-bite-the-dust/ for the background information.

From www.pexels.com

Why Kevin is wrong:

First Argument: Bitcoin mining is a natural monopoly

Bitcoin is

BITCOIN: Testing and old resistance

January 14, 2019 Published by

Early yesterday we saw a sudden drop of the BITCOIN price followed by a short and shy consolidation movement upwards…

The drop was expected since the Elliot Wave count was alerting about that in order to complete a long 5-3-5 Correction…

The question is, does the drop terminated? It may have been terminated, actually it looks like a very short but probable 5th wave…

In order to know it we have to see how BITCOIN manage in front of the next resistance:

The RSI indicates oversold condition but the Constant Low Volume does not bode high hopes for recovery…

My plan keeps alive, for the

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