In Elliott Wave terms, LEO began a wave one advance on May 21. The red wave one (blue sub-waves i-ii-iii-iv-v) finished on June 26, and the red wave two (blue sub-waves a-b-c) correction ended on July 19. If this wave count is correct, LEO should be heading next towards the June 26 peak in the red wave three.
The LEO token is an exchange utility token for current and future iFinex trading platforms and services. Young And Investing reviewed the token back in June this year.
Once again, the stars aligned for Bitcoin with the FED clearly capitulating to political pressure and dropping rates and the trade war rhetoric between the US and China once again heating up. With elections looming does a deal seem likely? Of course, careful what you wish for as BTC is still in all probability a risk-on asset – so a global crisis might well see a steep sell-off. My two cents – global uncertainty is bullish for crypto while a full-blown recession would be very bearish at least in the initial phase of an economic turndown.
As to the charts, BTC is attempting to push its head above the parapet but very weak volume remains a considerable concern in the short-term. Nonetheless, recent price action has been bullish.
Leverage trading seems to be shilled everywhere recently – this period of thin volume is the absolute worst time to enter leveraged positions – it’s effectively degenerate gambling. Speaking of degenerates, who asked for 1 second charts on TradingView?
Picks of the Week
This article’s examination of the psychology underlying incentives, co-operation, and the decentralized web is a standout this week with Off the Chain’s interview of Saifedean Ammous also incredibly interesting.
See you all down the crypto rabbit hole before you know it! As always, looking forward to your comments and suggestions.
Note on Sources:
Twitter & Reddit (cryptos current meta-brains) / Medium / Trybe / Hackernoon / Whaleshares / TIMM and so on/ YouTube / various podcasts and whatever else I stumble upon. The aim is a useful weekly aggregator of ideas rather than news. Though I try to keep the sources current – I’ll reference these articles and podcasts etc. as I encounter them – they may have been published just a couple of days ago or in some cases quite a bit earlier.
5 consecutive days of green candles already, despite BITCOIN has not increase so much in volume , BTC has broken strongly the Falling Wedge and so, it is going upwards while trying to break another known resistance at 10800 USD right now:
What I can see here is an interesting Flag pattern in formation. Usually this pattern use to provide till 5 rebounds before breaking the upper resistance (a-b-c-d-e) but it is known that also can be broken on the 4th, so at (d).
This is my current scenario: If the upper resistance (red line) is broken powerfully on (d), it would mean that the correction and so the end of the wave II was already done at (c) around 9000 USD… If, by the contrary, BTC finds strong resistance at (d), it would be likely to have another test of the inclined support on (e), ending there the correction…
In a graphical manner, two options, both bullish, of course:
Disclaimer: This is just my personal point of view, please, do your own assessment and act consequently. Neither this post nor myself is responsible of any of your profit/losses obtained as a result of this information.
In Elliott Wave terms, FuzeX began a wave one advance on June 18. The red wave one (blue sub-waves i-ii-iii-iv-v) finished on June 25, and the red wave two (blue sub-waves a-b-c) correction ended on July 31. If this wave count is correct, FuzeX should be heading next towards the June 25 peak in the red wave three.
In Elliott Wave terms, BHPCoin began a wave one advance on March 2. The red wave one (blue sub-waves i-ii-iii-iv-v) finished on June 27, and the red wave two (blue sub-waves a-b-c) correction ended on July 24. If this wave count is correct, BHPCoin should be heading next towards the June 27 peak in the red wave three.
BHP（Blockchain of Hash Power）is a public chain which is a decentralized digital asset interaction network based on bitcoin hash power credit. You can read their latest bi-weekly update below.
I wrote about the new KuCoin staking plan on Tuesday. This post explained it: “Don’t miss this one!”
True to my word:
I fully intend to lock up my KCS for this period, and I will do so as soon as I can.
I was waiting on KuCoin, ready to lock my KCS as soon as the clock hit 1 August (UTC +8), which was at 16:00 (UTC) on 31 July.
Of course, there were problems…
The problems:
I would be lying if I said I wasn’t surprised. Secretly, I had been expecting some sort of issue, even though I have great faith in the KuCoin team. Blockchain tech is just still all so new; because of this, platforms often forget to take something into account and fail under heavy loads or unusual conditions. This is exactly what happened to KuCoin.
The second that the staking contract opened, it failed. I hopped onto the various social media channels and watched the ensuing chaos for the first few minutes. To their credit, KuCoin were quick to respond. I saw multiple KuCoin admins respond on the telegram channel within minutes.
It turns out that a large block of simultaneous API calls (to lock KCS tokens) had triggered a safety system in KuCoin’s software. From a geek point of view, this is interesting: I have been wondering what safety systems KuCoin has in place – for obvious reasons these are not openly published. I guess we just found one! The safety system shut off the locking contract and had to be reset and disabled for these particular KCS withdrawals. The delay took about 20 minutes to rectify, after which KuCoin announced that they would retry launching the staking procedure 20 minutes later.
KuCoin did a good job of keeping us informed, even replying to my personal thread on Twitter where I and another investor were discussing the issue:
At 00:40 (UTC +8) the contract was reopened – and it worked.
To make up for the problem, KuCoin made the decision to double the maximum total amount of tokens that could be locked on Day 1. The daily cutoff for locking is 500 000 KCS, with a limit of 10 000 KCS per person. KuCoin raised the total to 1 000 000 KCS for Day 1 – which is about the best that they could do at short notice without unfairly disadvantaging those who had been waiting. TAKE NOTE: the 1 000 000 KCS limit was reached well before the 10 minute mark! In fact it took only 6 minutes and 6 seconds before the limit was reached – despite it having been doubled.
What to do and what to expect:
There were not a lot of explanatory posts about the KCS lockup process before it happened. I know of only two that KuCoin released themselves. Because of this, I had a few unanswered questions at lockup time – things I was unsure of. I decided to write this post to try to help you with any questions that you may have about the process, and to guide you through those bits of it which are not immediately obvious.
Firstly – the address to use for the lockup is exactly what they say in their blog post: LOCKKCS. “LOCKKCS” is what you type into the “Wallet Address” field (as seen in the image below).
Note: If you type this in before the contract is open, you will see an error message “Contain invalid or sensitive information”. Don’t worry, this is normal. Just wait for the contract to activate at 16:00 UTC. If you try to lockup once the contract is already full (500 000 tokens have already been staked for the day) then you will see the same error message.
Trying to transact when the contract is closed will look something like this:
From www.kucoin.com ; modified by Bit Brain
Once the contract is open, refresh the page and the error message should be gone. Remember that you must lock a minimum of 200 KCS at a time. Also remember that KuCoin has a lot of checks and balances when you withdraw (depending on your account security settings). For me this meant the usual ritual of keying in my KuCoin trading code, my 2FA code and a code which is emailed to me. Don’t forget about all that, it adds at least 30 seconds onto your precious time, so be prepared before the contract goes live: have your apps and webpages open and get ready to type/click fast and accurately. In reality, you probably have at least 5 minutes in which to to this – a time which should grow longer each day.
If you manage to beat the rush and lock successfully, then you will see that you have an “in progress” transaction in the “Withdrawal history” section at the bottom of the page.
Additional Information:
The “Remark” section caught me a little off guard. With less than a minute to go before unlocking, somebody on Telegram asked about using referral codes for the lockup (as was briefly mentioned in a KuCoin blog post). With literally seconds before the lockup went live, an admin replied that you put the referral codes in the remarks field. Having no other referral code at hand, and not knowing whether it was mandatory or not, and with the admin already swamped with questions, I hurriedly put my own code in the field, just to ensure that all fields were complete and that my transaction wouldn’t get automatically declined and miss the lockup.
No, I’m pretty sure that you can’t self-refer and that I won’t score anything extra by doing this!
I honestly do not know for sure if a referral code is mandatory, I highly doubt that it is. If you want to be a nice person, please use my referral code for locking. I will get extra lockup rewards if you do (which I could really use!). You type it into the “Remark” block. My referral code is E39MoQ
After the problems of the first round, APIs will no longer be able to conduct lockups. Aside from causing problems with the contract, according to https://twitter.com/KuCoinUpdates:
To ensure a fair and equitable KCS lockup program for all of our users, KuCoin will prohibit the use of API to withdraw KCS to the LOCKKCS lockup address. This has taken effect immediately and will continue through the end of the lockup period.
It’s a good decision – it’s fair and it was suggested by a large number of users on Telegram when the first lockup stalled.
Be aware that after you have locked your tokens, you will no longer see them in your KuCoin account. Don’t panic, they will be back (automatically) in three months time – with interest! Also, there is no Lockup Dashboard yet, the only indication of your lockup at this stage is your withdrawal history. Similarly, do not panic if you click on the Etherscan link to your lockup transaction and you see something funny. After lockup your withdrawal page should look something like this:
From www.kucoin.com ; modified by Bit Brain
If you click “view transaction” (as highlighted above) you will see a message such as this one:
From https://etherscan.io
That is perfectly normal. The LOCKKCS address is not a regular Ethereum address, it is an internal KuCoin construct. The transaction does not go onto the Ethereum blockchain and will not appear there, so Etherscan is supposed to return an error message. This was confirmed by KuCoin technical staff and the Etherscan screenshot above is from my own lockup transaction.
Note that despite the double allowance, only 286 people managed to lock in round one, I therefore consider myself to be extremely lucky! However, if you missed out, then don’t worry! The rate you can get by locking today is only very slightly less, you’ll still score about a 10% ROI within only three months by locking your tokens! The average amount of KCS locked per person yesterday was 3521 – which I consider to be quite a lot (certainly way more than I own!) With amounts like that being deposited, don’t expect the contract to stay open for long for at least the first few days of locking. I tell you again: be ready and waiting on the dot of 16:00 UTC!
Conclusion:
Despite the teething issues, I want to say well done to KuCoin. I think they did a damn good job of handling the API issue in a rapid, fair and responsible manner – about the best they could have done under the circumstances. I don’t blame them for the issue either, it would have been nice if it had been picked up before the time and prevented, but that’s very easy for me to say after the fact, and hindsight is always 20/20. Just as I think Binance handled their hack very well, it’s good to see the intelligent and levelled-headed folk at KuCoin able to do the same under pressure. Such incidents are potential PR disasters if not handled correctly. I don’t see how KuCoin could have handled it any better, their Tweet on my own Twitter wall being a prime example of the lengths they went to to inform and to ease tensions.
Well done (again) KuCoin!
In other news: I have recently heard that KuCoin are busy with a “dust” feature such as Binance has (great idea in the first place – well done Binance!) whereby small balances of other tokens held on KuCoin will be able to get “dusted” into KuCoin Shares. It should be released with their next platform update, I look forward to this!
Also, for those of you amateur videographers out there, KuCoin is running a video creation competition with 50 KCS up for grabs. Check their Twitter feed for the link.
Out of interest: I decided to shift my small Tron holdings from Binance to KuCoin two days ago. I’m pleased to report that the fully automatic staking contract is working and that I have already earned my first daily “soft staking” rewards.
Now if KuCoin could kindly please stop releasing awesome features all the time, then perhaps I could go a week without blogging about them! That would make a nice change!
Yours in crypto Bit Brain
Featured image from https://twitter.com/KuCoinUpdates
“The secret to success: find out where people are going and get there first”
~ Mark Twain
“Crypto does not require institutional investment to succeed; institutions require crypto investments to remain successful”
In Elliott Wave terms, PlayChip began a wave one advance on January 30. The red wave one (blue sub-waves i-ii-iii-iv-v) finished on January 30, and the red wave two (blue sub-waves a-b-c) correction ended on July 10. If this wave count is correct, PlayChip should be heading next towards the January 30 peak in the red wave three.
Click the audio tab below to listen to the 47th episode of my weekly crypto podcast ‘Two Minute Crypto.’ These are intended to be short, single-topic ramblings on some aspect of the cryptosphere. Consider dropping a like and or a review on iTunes or Podbean if you enjoy the podcast. Comments and critiques welcome.
Welcome to Two Minute Crypto. It would take either a brave or old man to deny that blockchain is interesting. Regardless of whether you perceive possible investment value in any particular project – the in’s and out of blockchain are in and of themselves fascinating. Decentralized transactions, trustless commerce, open access to information, uncensorable records and on and on the cognitive appeal of blockchain goes. As a crypto enthusiast, you have almost certainly spent time exploring and reflecting upon these concepts as you first got to grips with the space. Doubtless, that was time well spent.
The question today though is – Are you still learning about crypto or has your interaction with blockchain slowly degenerated to chart gazing, blockfolio checking, telegram lurking and the consumption of hyperbolic Youtube nonsense?
When was the last time you read a long format article on the tech side of crypto? How about a piece with a contrarian perspective on the value proposition of blockchain? Or a deep dive into Austrian economics?
If you look back over the last week and your engagement with the crypto space – how much of that time involved deepening your knowledge of some aspect of blockchain, economics, trading or investment? Sure, checking in on the Telegram channel of a particular project can offer some insight from time to time but mostly it’s just hype, hope, trolling and admins doing what they are paid to do -spinning the ‘everything is awesome’ narrative.
If you are primarily an investor in crypto – frequent checks of your portfolio balance are simply draining both time and attention for no benefit whatsoever.
We may all be forgiven the very occasional hopium laced video about XYZ crypto to the moon but this should never comprise a significant portion of your engagement with this space. Aside from undermining your ability to make dispassionate decisions about crypto projects – ultimately it will lead to disillusionment with crypto as the ‘too good to be true narrative’ turns out to be just that.
Efficient time management is critical to compounding the financial benefits most of us hope to extract from our engagement with crypto. A focus on learning (broadly applied), the ruthless re-examination of blockchain assumptions and a continual effort to optimize our crypto routines are key to making the most of this crypto ‘moment’.
The Volume has not change since a few days, we are still moving around 16 Billion in the 24h Volume which is more or less the same we had yesterday and the week before so, it is very likely we have a Bull trap here…
Additionally, we have a Triple Top at 10100 USD which is bearish so…unless BTC crosses that resistance I would not bet for an spectacular bull run now…
In my opinion, if not temporary sideways, BTC would move in the direction of the lower support, searching the (e) point on which it should rebound strongly (around 8500 USD) because if not, the threat of having a very BEARISH Scenario would get a higher likelihood of occurrence.
As I said, it is better not to enter now and see what happens in the coming days… this is a moment of high uncertainty and risk…
@toofasteddie
Disclaimer: This is just my personal point of view, please, do your own assessment and act consequently. Neither this post nor myself is responsible of any of your profit/losses obtained as a result of this information.
I hope this has been helpful. I’d be happy to answer any questions in the comment section below. Until next time, wishing you safe and profitable trading.
Workin
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