Forex $1 MM Challenge – Missed My Trade Again On GBP/NZD

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand has already cut interests rate three times this year with the most recent cut being in August.  Back in August the Bank of New Zealand cut rates by 50 basis points.  The drastic cut shocked the Markets because the Markets were only a 25 basis point reduction.  At that time, Reserve Bank Governor Adrian Orr hinted at further easing by any means necessary in order to hit their inflation rate targets.

Fast forward to this past Thurs and the Bank of New Zealand shocked the Markets again.  But this time New Zealand’s central bank on Wednesday held the official cash rate (OCR) at a record-low 1.0%.

NOTE: This was bullish for the New Zealand Kiwi

Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) Governor Adrian Orr said on Thursday that it was unlikely the central bank would need to use unconventional monetary policy tools, although it would be negligent not to be prepared for such a scenario.

“Our current view is that we are unlikely to need ‘unconventional’ monetary policy tools. But we would be remiss not to be prepared,” Orr said in a speech in New Zealand that was released by the bank.

The New Zealand Dollar jumped after the comments, rising 0.3% to $0.6292.

Source

Monthly Chart (Curve Time Frame) – monthly supply is at 2.20000 and monthly demand is at 1.70000.

Weekly Chart (Trend Time Frame) – price also broke the weekly up trendline.

Daily Chart (Entry Time Frame) – the chart suggested to short price at the daily supply at 2.00500, but the trade set-up happened without me for a 2nd time.

This post is my personal opinion. I’m not a financial advisor, this isn’t financial advise. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Epl Weekend

Today is another day for the sports guys, the lovers of football. Liverpool has successfully obtained their 3 points and now leading the table with 21 points. It wasn’t easy for them tho because during the first half of the game it was draw and when they came back from the pep talk that talks really did it job. So Liverpool performed their magic again and lead by 1-0 till the end of the match. It wasn’t easy for them tho. The newly promoted teams that just joined the epl is really making the senior teams finds it difficult to score them. They are proving stubborn. I will end my talk with a joke that is trending. Barca and Chelsea. When you look at the last 4 matches of Barcelona and Chelsea they are almost the same. When Barcelona play draw Chelsea also plays draw, when Barcelona lose Chelsea also lose and when Barcelona win Chelsea also win. I will show you a picture of how it looks like. Have a great weekend.

UnitedHealth Group Isn’t Ready For More Regulation

I wrote about UnitedHealth Group earlier this year.  UnitedHealth Group is one of the largest health-insurance providers services roughly 50 million people with revenue of $226.2 billion last year. It also operates physician practices, sells consulting and data services, and administers drug benefits.

One of the major themes going into the 2020 presidential, at least by the Democrats will be the “Medicare for All” proposals. For example, earlier this year, Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont is calling for government-run health care as a way of covering more people.  He’s even singled out UnitedHealth saying their greed would soon end.

But the chart suggested to go long UnitedHealth at the weekly demand at $210.

Price did eventually react to the weekly demand at $210, hit the target at weekly supply zone at $270.  But because the $270 was a level that contained a stack of unfilled sell orders, that level the chart also suggested to short price gain with the target being at the weekly demand at $210 again.

In mid-Sept, the “Medicare for All” theme went front and center when House Speaker Nancy Pelosi unveiled her bill that would allow the federal government to negotiate the prices of up to 250 brand-name drugs in Medicare that do not have competitors and the negotiated prices would be available to all purchasers, not just Medicare beneficiaries.  In addition, the bill would also cap seniors’ out-of-pocket prescription drug costs at $2,000 a year.  And all though Nancy is trying to impeach Trump, Trump actually supports Nancy’s bill.  So if Trump gets impeached which he won’t and if the Democrats win next year’s election, which they won’t, UnitedHealth current business model isn’t set up for a more regulated environment.  And that’s why the stock fell 3% today and that’s why price is testing the weekly demand at $210 again.

But this time could be a different story. The SPDR Healthcare Sector ETF, XLV still lags behind the S&P 500 ETF, SPY.

and relative to all the other SPY sectors, XLV is dead list.

Thus, the chart is suggesting the weekly demand at $210 won’t hold again, will be breached the zone in the near future and that price will move down to the weekly demand at $183.

This post is my personal opinion. I’m not a financial advisor, this isn’t financial advise. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

United Coach has a full support from De Gea

Everyone is aware of the difficulties that Manchester United is facing. And people has already started passing their comment on the exist of the coach of Manchester United. But here comes the voice of the Goal keeper of Manchester United. He has voice out something which actually said it all that the Coach of Manchester United might not go any where but stay with the club till the end of the season. He said this when he was talking, Manchester United was facing difficulties before they handed it over to Solskjaer and when they handed it over to him the coach has been struggling from that time till now but they still have hopes in the coach that better things are about to happen. Even thou they have played 6 matches in the epl and have gathered eight points but they are willing to die for the Coach. The Coach is a former player of Manchester United so he knows the back and foreth of Manchester United so we all should wait for the surprise which are about to come. They will die for the coach no matter what the situation is. This should there might not be an exist for the Coach soon. If there will be it wont be now. SO lets watch out more from the Manchester United coach. Thank you for your time have a great day. Good morning.

Suggestion on Steem Price

Hello everyone good day, Hope we all have seen how the price of steem is fallen and I would like to suggest something that can be done to see if the price of the steem will move up again. From my experience, when I first joined steemit, i noticed that the only crypto payment we receive as payment was SBD and steem power so I actually asked of why that not steem and I had an explanation that when the SBD shoot up it pulls up with the steem. So as SBD is going up steem will also be going up. I studied it and it worked perfectly because as we saw SBD making waves steem was also coming. Now they have chance the reward to steem. The price of steem is also low so even if anyone is interested in the platform and see the mode of payment he or she wont feel like joining. So why dont they change it from Steem to SBD so that as the SBD moves up then it will be dragging up the steem. The price of SBD will shoot up if the pricing system is changed to SBD. So I am pleading with the team of Steem to look into it and do something about it.

Steem Price Analysis as Requested

Been a long time since I did an analysis of the steem price chart. However, a loyal reader and fellow steemian @chrisrice put in a request and I am happy to oblige.

The More Things Change The More They Stay the Same

If you look at the top of the post you will see a zoomed out view of the daily price chart for steem. The good news is the price action and levels are rather obvious even to the naked eye once the support/resistance lines are laid out as in that chart.

So here’s the thing. We can see long-term price levels when looking at that chart. We can see how they have come into play and to be honest how all of them have been reached with the exception of the level roughly around 10 cents.

At this point, can we expect price to make a full round trip? As in go all the way back to the low it start its prior upward journey from?

Looking at this price action is sort of feels like a self-fulling prophecy.

I say this even with all the good thing going on with steem right now. I think there are some many projects and initiatives (steemleo, splinterlands, etc.) that are pro steem value. However, it takes time for these things to have an impact on the actual demand for and price of steem.

Crypto Market is Weak

The entire crypto market is weak right now to boot. Steem is at 12 cents while a write this. 10 cents is just a mere move away.

Daily chart zoomed in makes it more clear

I’m fine with it hitting ten cents. My worry is that won’t be the bottom. That support area goes into the 9 cent area, but if we go sub 9 cents then the only downside target left is the all time low around 5-6 cents.

So basically I’m rooting for us to test 10 cents and create a bottom there, again.

Then we can focus on upside targets – which would start with this 16 cent area that is now our last little consolidation area before trying to make a run at 20 cents.

Interesting times in steem price action for sure!

Forex $1 MM Challenge – Trade #20 (9-26-19) Sold AUD/USD

U.S. President Donald Trump said on Wednesday a deal to end a nearly 15-month trade war with China could happen sooner than people think and that the Chinese were making big agricultural purchases from the United States, including of beef and pork.

Trump spoke a day after delivering a stinging rebuke to China’s trade practices at the United Nations General Assembly, saying he would not accept a “bad deal” in U.S.-China trade negotiations.

China’s top diplomat hit back at U.S. criticism of its trade and development model in a speech on Tuesday after Trump spoke at the United Nations. Wang Yi, China’s foreign minister and state councilor, said Beijing would not bow to threats, including on trade, though he said he hoped the high-level trade talks next month would produce positive results.

Source

I have a bias that no trade deal will be reached, but I’m going to continue to trade what is real, not what I feel…so I went short on AUD/USD

Monthly Chart (Curve Time Frame) – monthly supply is at 0.88000 and there is no monthly demand is at 0.60000.

Weekly Chart (Trend Time Frame) – the trend is down.

60 Min Chart (Entry Time Frame) – the chart suggests to short price at the 60 min supply at 0.6750.

NOTE: I don’t usually trade 60 min charts, continuing to test my skills on the smaller time frame, so my position was a little smaller than usual. In addition, I may try to get to breakeven sooner than later because I’m really in no man’s land.

My target is right before the weekly demand zone, but I may not hold as this trade is a greater than 12:1 Reward to Risk trade and I’m looking for just a minimum of 3:1.

This post is my personal opinion. I’m not a financial advisor, this isn’t financial advise. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Village Farms International Is…Almost A Buy

Village Farms International, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, produces, markets, and distributes greenhouse-grown tomatoes, bell peppers, and cucumbers in North America. But in 2017, the company partnered with Emerald Health Therapeutics, a Canada-based, medical-marijuana research company and formed a 50-50 joint venture called Pure Sunfarms.

Because Village Farms International is still known as a produce grower the valuation is almost half those of other companies in the cannabis started.  But behind the scenes, they are converting their greenhouses to produce cannabis.  And what I didn’t know is the company has one of the lowest cost / gram equating to very good margins.  Thus, it only makes sense that the company had three straight quarters of recorded a profit with an avg. profit margin exceeding 20%.

Village Farms also has a hand in the hemp sector, so they have expansion opportunities in the US with the passing for the Farm Bill I 2018.

The 2018 farm bill, which legalized industrial hemp cultivation, has opened up new opportunities for cannabidiol (CBD) extraction in the U.S. that otherwise weren’t available to producers. Village Farms is looking to test the waters in this regard, initially growing and selling hemp biomass, as well as CBD oil on the wholesale market to boost its near-term cash flow. To do this, the company also has a separate hemp-based joint venture which includes over 920 acres across four states. Village Farms also expects to eventually sell CBD products directly to major retailers sometime in 2020. While there isn’t too much to say about this hemp joint venture considering the lack of significant financial results, it will be interesting to see just how successful its initial hemp/CBD efforts will be.

Source

Village Farms offer investors an opportunity to come into the cannabis space through the back door.  While other companies have been overhyped and haven’t been able to deliver, Village Farms is slowing starting to flex their muscles in the cannabis space.  And I particularly like their medical marijuana research company because in the future, the marijuana will be a low margin commodity.  So how should potential investors get into the stock, lets go to the charts.

Well, price did react to the daily demand at $9.60, but there are no more unfilled buy orders at that level.

Thus, the next stack of unfilled buy orders are at the daily demand at $6.50.

This post is my personal opinion. I’m not a financial advisor, this isn’t financial advise. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

United to Meet Chelsea in the Next of Carabao Cup

Unlucky for Manchester United, they are meeting Chelsea in the next round of the Carabao cup. This is not the first time this has happened. Last season it happened. So looking at this team of Manchester United it should be a simple and easy win for Chelsea to redeem themselves after the hig lost in the epl at their home. As they took 4-1 down against Manchester United. It was good at all but now that they have met United again they will make sure to score them very well. I will ens here for today and continue later.

Chelsea Outstanding win 7 -1

Chelsea on fire Now and they are not going give any small thing chance. Yesterday they score the league Two team 7-1 in the Carabao Cup meetings. This is the first time of Chelsea winning with at Large margin. It has been a long time they score 7 goals. The beginning of this season has also been a bad season for them in their home as they have lost four Matches in their. Hope this win will turn around something and give them the good side to win in their home. Before they went on half time Chelsea has already given they a lead of 3-1 so after the peep talk they added 4 goals without a reply in tbe second half, claiming their 3 points. Nice work done Chelsea.