I’m Not Feeling Williams-Sonoma On Goldman Sachs Retail Buy List

Retail stocks have been a tough trade in 2019. While the S&P 500 is up nearly 20% year-to-date, the SPDR S&P Retail ETF (NYSEARCA:XRT) is up just 3%, as retail stocks have been weighed by sluggish consumer spending in early 2019 and overarching trade conflicts.

But, Goldman Sachs thinks things are about to get a whole lot better for a whole lot of retail stocks.

One of their picks that I
disagree with is Williams-Sonoma, based on the where the housing market is
headed. Recently, sales of new and existing homes dropped below 6 million for the
first in two years.  And despite rates going
down, mortgage applications are flat. 
However, Goldman Sachs believes the following:

Tariff concerns have been a huge headache for Williams-Sonoma (NYSE:WSM), but Goldman thinks that the kitchenware and home furnishings retailer is ready to bounce back. Trade tensions are cooling, and with a truce on new tariffs between the two countries, it seems the worst of the trade war damage has already been inflicted. Going forward, the numbers here should get better, especially as buying conditions in the U.S. improve, too. This improvement should drive a nice rebound in WSM stock.

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I personally think Williams-Sonoma is setting up for a great short. However, this is the type of catalyst that will get price there sooner than later. Thus, the chart suggest to short price at the weekly demand at

This post is my personal opinion. I’m not a financial advisor, this isn’t financial advise. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Are You Buying Netflix Into Earnings???

Stocks are hitting record highs right now. All three major indexes surged this week following Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s strong rate cut signals.  But even at these elevated levels, it’s still possible to find stocks with significant upside potential for the months ahead. Goldman Sachs analyst Heath Terry has a top-notch reputation when it comes to stock picking.

One stock that Terry believes has more upside is Netflix.  After a monster first quarter, Netflix has been stuck in the mud.  However, here is what Heath had to say about Netflix.

Streaming giant Netflix is another top stock on Terry’s buy list. With a $460 price target, the analyst is forecasting 23% upside potential for shares.

“We continue to believe Netflix’s investment in content, technology and distribution will continue to drive subscriber growth well above consensus expectations both in the U.S. and internationally,” Terry told investors earlier this year when he added the stock to the firm’s Conviction list.

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The market makers are pricing in a $25 move in either direction after earnings later this week. Regardless, the potential levels to pay attention to are the daily supply at $402 and the daily demand at $313.

This post is my personal opinion. I’m not a financial advisor, this isn’t financial advise. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Is Steemit.inc ready for the next Alt season?

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Its really a simple question tied into an inevitable event. If you havent washed out already and you stuck with alt coins during these lows it will probably pay off for you eventually. It wont pay off for you as much as if you followed Bitcoin to 12k and then sold into Steem again but those of you that were unapologetic hodlers will get their time.

Now there is something to remember… Not all alts are going up and with Steem dropping slowly but surely towards the 100 rank in MC it is a question as if we will ride the wave as well. But lets be positive for a moment.

There needs to be a plan once the sentiment shifts. Maybe the EIP is one of the things that will help. Who can say? But what i think Steem needs is a solid project to drop at the right time.

SMTs. Yep.. The illusive SMTs.

People like to talk about them as the second coming but during a bear market, had they launched SMTs i highly doubt anyone would have noticed.
But maybe when the research into what token is undervalued, what great things are created whereever, that just might be the moment for SMTs to shine.

Look, the expected players will have great gains. ETH, LTC, EOS, TRX. It doesnt matter what they offer or what future they have. It really doesnt. It might be the lowest of quality spam transactions and illegal activity. It just doenst matter.

Hell, even today Justin Sun tweeted how they have 500 active dapps and i went and did a count.. I didnt go all the way but 70 of the top 100 dapps on TRON is illegal gambling dapps.

I mean its all a cheap facade what the industry leaders put up but moonboys dont care… So what Steemit.inc needs to do is throw some moonboy bait.

Time it well and hook us some trading volume. Hopefully have a marketing budget ready. 😉

Ill see you soon.

Did You Go Out And Buy WD-40 Too???

I put WD-40 up there almost with water and air, meaning it’s something we take for granted, but can’t live without it. It has infinite uses, from cleaning cleaning tiles, to softening leather, to free struck legos, to getting rid of rust, is the real utility knife.  Just look at the more than 2000 uses of WD-40.

WD-40’s stock had its best day in more than six years Wednesday after it said customers stockpiled the product ahead of a price increase.

The chemical manufacturer reported third quarter-earnings late Tuesday that beat expectations. Sales rose 7% to $114 million for the quarter, which the company said was bolstered by especially strong North American sales as customers stocked up on their grease and cleaning products. The company’s shares were up 8.6% Wednesday.

WD-40 (WDFC) CEO Garry Ridge said in a release that its North American customers were “buying high volumes of product in advance of our planned price increases in the region.” WD-40 announced it was hiking prices a year ago. It hiked prices predominantly because of rising commodity prices, although steel and aluminum tariffs had raised its canning costs somewhat as well.

Ridge said on a call with analysts that the company doesn’t expect any additional price increases this year. He said that it has felt “some residual impact of tariffs,” but the price increase for its can are “somewhat coincident with the timing of tariffs.”

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Despite the bump up in price this week, the levels in play and to monitor are the $150 level on the downside and the $188 level on the upside.

This post is my personal opinion. I’m not a financial advisor, this isn’t financial advise. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Burning LEO

I confess I am not really in favor of the Bid Bots…well, to tell you the true, I only see one GOOD Bid BOT which is @isotonic which was created by me in order to fund the @runningproject initiative…

However, after reading this post “Introducing the Leo Bid Bot Sink!” I have decided to delegate some SP to the @leo.voter .

@leo.voter is another type of Bid Bot, but unlike the traditional Bid Bots at steem, It receives bids in LEO tokens and then distributes those tokens to SP delegators while simultaneously burning it’s proportion so, when you use this bot, you are Burning Leo Tokens essentially, and it is good because you create SCARCITY.

If you combine scarcity and demand the result is always a WIN-WIN.

I think @steemleo is doing a great and innovative work at the steem blockchain and I like the way they are evolving by introducing new revolutionary ideas.

Now, let me test how @leo.voter works so, I am going to send a couple of “scarcy” LEO token to the bot in order to see how much I get back.

I will report later on.

@toofasteddie

Will Richard Branson Be Right???

Brexit is an abbreviation for “British exit,” referring to the U.K.’s decision in a June 23, 2016 referendum to leave the European Union (EU). The process of Britain staying or not staying in the EU has been entertaining to say the least. Former Prime Minister David Cameron, who campaigned for Britain to remain in the EU, announced his resignation the following day.  Then Theresa May, who replaced Cameron, stepped down in June after facing severe pressure to resign.

It’s been pretty quiet since June, maybe because the new Brexit deadline is late October 31, 2019.  However, Richard Branson, the billionaire had something to say about Brexit today.

Branson told the BBC that a hard Brexit would be “devastating” for Virgin and would lead the group to invest outside the U.K. Virgin Atlantic would lose $125 million (£100 million) of air freight contracts from Europe, after having already seen its costs rise by $125 million (£100 million) after the pound slumped in value following the 2016 referendum.

“The pound was at $1.53 when the referendum took place. The pound today it is at $1.22, $1.23, and the pound will collapse to parity with the dollar if there is a hard Brexit,” said Branson.

Branson’s comments came as the British currency plunged to a two-year low of $1.24 against the dollar earlier this week. The pound has fallen in recent months over concerns about the health of the U.K. economy and the prospect that Boris Johnson, who has argued for no-deal Brexit, will become the U.K.’s next prime minister.

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I personally can’t fathom parity with the inevitable fall in the US dollar, but anything is possible in this day and age.

This post is my personal opinion. I’m not a financial advisor, this isn’t financial advise. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Kroger Is Not A Buy

Kroger Co.’s stock has been beaten down this year, but some investment pros are bullish on its prospects for a rebound.

“While I think the battle for market share in the grocery space is far from over, I believe the risks are worth the potential rewards when I look at Kroger’s dividend metrics combined with its low valuation,” Nicholas Ward, of private investing community the Dividend Growth Club, recently wrote on investment website Seeking Alpha,

Ward doesn’t own Kroger stock, at least not as of the Monday writing of his post on Seeking Alpha.

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While Ward believes the risks are worth the potential rewards, he doesn’t own the stock…I wonder why.

Maybe because Kroger must compete against Amazon in the digital world.

Maybe because Amazon is planning on opening dozens of grocery stores in several US cities.

Maybe because a couple of months ago, a Robert Beyer, Kroger Co. director has completed the largest outright stock sale by a company insider in six years.

Maybe because price broke out of the wedge to the downside. Kroger is not a buy, the chart suggest, price is heading to the monthly demand at $16.50

This post is my personal opinion. I’m not a financial advisor, this isn’t financial advise. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Forex Price Action Baby, No Technicals or Fundamentals…Trade #22 – Sold AUD/CAD (7/10/19)

10,000 Ft View – Daily Chart

Lets zoom in for the trade set-up. The sellers took out the pivot low, then the next day price returned to the zone.

NOTE: I would have like to see the price move at least 2X the supply zone, the Canadian dollar is stronger than the Aussie dollar at present time.

Forex Relative Strength Analysis Report For Week Starting 7/8/19

This post is my personal opinion. I’m not a financial advisor, this isn’t financial advise. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Nio…Isn’t A Buy Yet

Shares of Nio Inc. soared in active trading Tuesday as the China-based electric car maker sped toward its biggest six-day rally since going public.

The stock NIO, +5.73%  shot up 6.2% in afternoon trading toward a sixth-straight gain, and the highest close since May 28. Volume swelled to over 76.8 million shares, enough to make the stock the most actively traded on major U.S. exchanges, and nearly double the full-day average of 38.8 million shares.

The stock has now rocketed 45.5% during its win streak, which would be the biggest six-day gain since Nio went public on Sept. 12, 2018.

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Nio is the newest Tesla competition and manufactures and markets electric vehicles in China.  Nio already has a vehicle in production and has delivered such models as the EP9, EVE, and ES8 to the market. 

However, due to uncertainty around China’s economy, the status of a government subsidy for buyers of electric vehicles and delays in building their own factory, the stock price has declined in recent months. Most recently, in May 2019, China posted the worst ever sales decline and it marked the 11th-consecutive monthly decline in car sales…thanks to the US-China trade war.

Thus, Nio isn’t a buy yet fundamentally and from  a technical standpoint, the chart suggests the buyers must take out the sellers at the weekly supply at before considering Nio a buy.

This post is my personal opinion. I’m not a financial advisor, this isn’t financial advise. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Currency Analysis Report 7/9/19 – How Much Lower Will The British Pound Go???

The pound slumped to a two-year low as signs of economic downturn mounted in a market increasingly betting that policy makers will have to cut borrowing costs.

The currency reached its weakest level since April 2017 as disappointing retail sales and suggestions that the U.K. economy could be set for its worst quarter since 2012 sapped sentiment. The bleak economic outlook is adding to risk factors for sterling, with money markets pricing in a rate cut by the Bank of England next year.

The pound has fallen about 2% since Prime Minister Theresa May indicated that she would be stepping down

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So are there any significant buyers below current price, lets go to the charts to find out?

Based on the monthly chart, the all-time lows sitting at 1.20000.

Based on the weekly chart, the trend is down.

Based on the daily chart, the chart suggests price is heading down to the daily demand at 1.2200.

This post is my personal opinion. I’m not a financial advisor, this isn’t financial advise. Do your own research before making investment decisions.