I’m Loving This Volatility, Are You???

What started out as a slow week, has been made up in the last two days thanks to all the volatility. Volatility is a necessary evil, if one is to make money.  I say a necessary evil because when prices move, it provides an opportunity to make money and make money quickly.  However, because trading is a zero sum game, that money that was made quickly was due to someone losing money quickly.

Fed Powell cut central bank cut rates on yesterday for the first time in ten years, due to continued uncertainty and a slowdown in the global markets.  Fed Powell told the Markets not to necessary expect more cuts in the future.  The DOW fell a little over 500 points.

Fed Powell tried to clear things up at the press conference,

“Let me be clear: What I said was it’s not the beginning of a long series of rate cuts,” Powell said. “I didn’t say it’s just one or anything like that. When you think about rate-cutting cycles, they go on for a long time and the committee’s not seeing that. Not seeing us in that place. You would do that if you saw real economic weakness and you thought that the federal funds rate needed to be cut a lot. That’s not what we’re seeing.”

Source

but the damage was already done.  I trade the futures market and missed the opportunity to ride on the backs of the Smart Money when price pulled back into a daily demand zone.

The Markets took off at the opening bell, the next thing I know the DOW was up almost 300 points.  Then Trump did, what Trump does,

And the DOW reversed ending the day down almost 300 points, a 500 point reversal and busting through the daily demand zone in the process.

So what’s the lesson of this post…win, lose or draw, trade your plan, plan your trade.

This post is my personal opinion. I’m not a financial advisor, this isn’t financial advise. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Crypto Contest August 2: BHPCoin

BHPCoin (Bithumb: BHPKRW) has broken out of the triangle pattern in the daily chart.

(Chart courtesy of Tradingview.com (log scale))

Elliott Wave Analysis

In Elliott Wave terms, BHPCoin began a wave one advance on March 2. The red wave one (blue sub-waves i-ii-iii-iv-v) finished on June 27, and the red wave two (blue sub-waves a-b-c) correction ended on July 24. If this wave count is correct, BHPCoin should be heading next towards the June 27 peak in the red wave three.

(Chart courtesy of Tradingview.com (log scale))

Funnymentals

BHP(Blockchain of Hash Power)is a public chain which is a decentralized digital asset interaction network based on bitcoin hash power credit. You can read their latest bi-weekly update below.

(Sources: BHPCoin and Blog)

How can I vote? Where is the contest?

You can vote by following this link.

Fed Powell Continues To Be Wall Street’s Newest Puppet

During a question-and-answer session on Oct. 3rd, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said the central bank was a long way from adopting a neutral rate of growth.  At the time the Markets were grinding higher from a very volatile 1st quarter where the US Equity Markets had not one, but two 10% declines.  The Markets didn’t like what Powell said and showed him by tanking.

Then in December of 2018, Powell said the Fed’s program to reduce the bond holdings on its balance sheet was on “autopilot.” Powell later went on and raised short-term rates another one-quarter percent. The Markets didn’t like what Powell said and showed him by tanking again.

At this point, the Markets had Fed Powell right where it wanted him.  The Markets become the puppeteer and Fed Powell became the puppet. 

In early January, during a round table with Janet Yellen and Ben Bernanke, Powell said, there is no preset path for raising rates or adjusting the balance sheet. The Markets like what he had to say, eventually climbing 10%, aiding in one of the greatest V-reversals in US equity market history.

Yesterday, Fed Powell cut rates.  However, the Markets had the rate cut priced in.  But Fed Powell tried to cut the strings off from the puppeteer (the Markets) saying to the Markets not to expect more cuts, just because I cut rates this time.  Well, the Markets pulled on the string by dropping almost 2%.

So what’s the lesson of this post, the relationship between the puppeteer is a special two way relationship in which the puppeteer gives life to the puppet by being man-handled when necessary. 

This post is my personal opinion. I’m not a financial advisor, this isn’t financial advise. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Currency Analysis Report 8-1-19…Where Next For The US Dollar???

Fed Powell cut central bank cut rates on yesterday for the first time in ten years, due to continued uncertainty and a slowdown in the global markets.  However, this wasn’t anything surprising as everyone and my Grandma expected the cut.  However, it was his language that did surprise the Markets.  He pretty much said, I’m throwing the markets a bone, but don’t necessary expect more bones.

Image Source

This was a dovish tone in terms of more rate cuts and so the US dollar moved higher on the news as worldwide investors moved money into the currency (the US dollar) offering the greatest return.  Although the US Feds cut rates, everyone around the world is cutting as well, but a faster pace.

So where is the US dollar heading next, lets go to the charts?

Bigger picture, the US dollar is moving towards the weekly demand at $99. This is key as there is room for the US dollar another $1 higher before potentially reversing. Which means Gold, Oil, Wheat, Soybeans, the Euro dollar, etc. should move lower as these assets are inversely correlated to the US dollar.

Based on the daily chart, potential turning points are between $99.40 and $100.40 as highlighted by the daily supply zones marked in white.

This post is my personal opinion. I’m not a financial advisor, this isn’t financial advise. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

@actifit is again leading the STEEM Ecosystem

@actifit is doing it again! They have launched another new functionality, from now on you can exchange your AFIT tokens for STEEM at the STEEM-ENGINE market.

In order to allow all users and investors the use of this new functionality, you need to have AFITX tokens in your wallet which are going to be airdropped in the coming hours, with a maximum of 10 AFITX per account (equivalent to 100 STEEM at the current price).

In short, For every 1 AFITX owned, you can move daily up to 100 AFIT.

That means, AFIT current price is 0.05 STEEM/AFIT , so, at the current price it is 5 STEEM a day just with 1 AFITX!

But, wait, AFITX seems to be even more important than the rewarding AFIT token… The more AFITX token you have in your wallet the higher your user rank and so the higher you will be rewarded in AFIT, STEEM, ZZAN, SPORTS, PAL.

Also have a look on the Token description:

AFITX is a new special benefits token for Actifit users & AFIT token holders. Holding this token enables users to: – Daily Move AFIT tokens to S-E – Increases user rank – Increases post rewards via our different rewarded tokens – Receive priority when exchanging AFIT for STEEM upvotes – Participate in contests – AFITX will constitute the basis for our future Exchange framework

So here I am now buying some AFITX while exchanging already some of my AFIT for STEEM…

Actually, it is working somehow as an AFIT POWER-DOWN in automatic, so, seems that you have to select the amount you want to send daily to the Steem-engine exchange so, be sure to choose a sustainable amount because it can affect your User Rank.

For me this is a Clear WIN-WIN again!!!!

Congratulations and thanks to @mcfarhat and @actifit team for the excellent work.

@toofasteddie


P.S: You can learn more about it by reading Actifit last post.



Have You Ever Heard Of A Frontier Market???

An emerging market is a country that doesn’t have all the characters of a developed market.  Examples of developed markets would be the US, Australia, England, Canada, etc. Years ago, when it came to emerging markets, it was all about the big four, BRICS – Brazil, Russia, India, and China. 

Since then, India, Mexico, South Africa, Thailand and several other countries are now considered emerging markets.  Countries wanting to join the club, known as frontier markets include include Egypt, Indonesia, Nigeria, Philippines, Vietnam, among others.  As these frontier markets develop, they could perhaps offer investors with handsome returns. 

The VanEck Vectors® Vietnam ETF (VNM®) seeks to replicate the performance of the MVIS® Vietnam Index (MVVNMTR®), which includes securities of publicly traded companies that are incorporated in Vietnam or that are incorporated outside of Vietnam but have at least 50% of their revenues/related assets in Vietnam.

“Recently, Vietnam has attracted global investor interest as a potential beneficiary of the ongoing trade war between the U.S. and China, but investors have also taken notice of the country’s attractive long-term fundamental characteristics,” said VanEck in a recent note.

The equity market there is small as highlighted by VNM’s roster of just 27 stocks. However, the nation is growing rapidly and its demographics are more favorable than larger Asian economies such as China and Japan.

“Vietnam is taking gradual steps to liberalize its markets, while seeking to avoid the negative impacts of capital flight,” according to VanEck. “Hot money is a real issue for frontier and emerging market economies, and the negative repercussions, including volatility, may have long lasting effects on the local economy.

Source

Now I see why they call it frontier markets, as these markets are still underdeveloped like the chart below. At some point, VNM will breakout…maybe by this time Vietnam joins the emerging market club.

This post is my personal opinion. I’m not a financial advisor, this isn’t financial advise. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

AMD Does This, When This Happens

Advanced Micro Devices reported their second quarter earnings yesterday, but they couldn’t live up to the expectations. Revenue was down 13% year over year, net income fell over 40% and AMD said that it expects its full-year results won’t be as good as the previous forecast.  On the news the stock fell double digits.

I remember writing a post about AMD almost one year ago and I remember that $33 level being a monthly supply zone which eventually push price to the sub $20 level.  It’s still so vivid because I remember I was wrong on the call and thought price was going higher. 

AMD Just Got Upgraded

NOTE: I should of known better, as very few things trump a monthly zone, but at the time, all I saw was AMD’s price continuing to higher after years of hibernation.

The CEO, Lisa Su said the weaker than expected forecast was due to weakness in gaming consoles as both Microsoft Corporation and Sony Corp announced they were coming out with new game consoles.  Needless to say the stock fell double digits yesterday.  However, I’m not surprised because the way that monthly supply got me almost a year ago, got many traders/investors who went long yesterday or didn’t take some profits off the table.

On the daily chart, price formed a “M” pattern which is a reversal pattern. So the potential price action over the coming days/weeks might be to the downside.

This post is my personal opinion. I’m not a financial advisor, this isn’t financial advise. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

STEEM is within the Top 10 Crypto-Blockchain Projects…

…according to the 13th Update of The Center for Information and Industry Development (CCID), under China’s Ministry of Industry and Information Technology.

China Publishes New Rankings of 37 Crypto Projects

STEEM is ranked 9th while BITCOIN is 11th on a list of 37 Crypto-Blockchain projects.

EOS is the 1st project, it makes sense to me since, if I am not wrong, some of the most important Block Producers are located at China.

I am happy to see that STEEM is up at some of the most important Blockchain Ranks. Surely, projects as @wherein are doing an excellent work there…

It is weird that Cryptocurrency trading is still banned at China…I don’t think this status will last for long since also the government is willing to understand the technicalities and applicabilities of this technology…

In the meantime, as usual, keep calm and steem on!

@toofasteddie

Crypto Contest August 1: PlayChip

PlayChip (HitBTC: PLABTC) has broken out of the triangle pattern in the daily chart.

(Chart courtesy of Tradingview.com (log scale))

Elliott Wave Analysis

In Elliott Wave terms, PlayChip began a wave one advance on January 30. The red wave one (blue sub-waves i-ii-iii-iv-v) finished on January 30, and the red wave two (blue sub-waves a-b-c) correction ended on July 10. If this wave count is correct, PlayChip should be heading next towards the January 30 peak in the red wave three.

(Chart courtesy of Tradingview.com (log scale))

Funnymentals

PlayChip is an universal gaming token for sports betting, fantasy sports and e-sports. You can watch their intro video below.

(Sources: PlayChip and YouTube)

How can I vote? Where is the contest?

You can vote by following this link.

Reason Not To Buy Ford Under $10

Three months ago, Ford announced first quarter earning in which net income declined, to $1.1 billion from $1.7 billion. Earnings per share were $0.29 cents per share, down from $0.44, but better than expected. Also, revenue fell to $40.3 billion from $41.9 billion a year earlier, but higher than expected. Beating the expectations were enough to send the stock 10% higher on Friday, it’s best one day performance since 2009.

Last year global car
sales declined for the first time since 2009. Based on first half U.S auto
sales, the U.S. auto sales are on pace to drop for a second year in a row.

Automakers are facing headwinds related to a trade war with China and threats of further tariffs up to 25% that could be implemented in November. The Chinese market also is facing oversaturation with predictions of a 7.5% decrease in sales this year after it began to shrink at the end of 2018.

The U.S. auto industry is heading toward a nearly 30% decrease in sales by 2022, a Bank of America Merrill Lynch analyst predicts.

Source

Yet this article I read on Yahoo Finance stated the 3 reasons to buy Ford under $10 were the following: Ford’s Volume and Market Share Trends Are Improving, Depressed Domestic Revenue Trends Will Turn Around, Profit Trends Are Moving in the Right Direction.

I won’t get into the details of the article because the case to buy Ford in my opinion is weak. All one has to do is look at the chart. The fact that price couldn’t even make it to the first weekly supply at $11.25, but stalled and fell at $10.50 tells you the #1 reason not to buy Ford under $10. The chart suggests price is going to fall to the monthly demand at $5.25.

This post is my personal opinion. I’m not a financial advisor, this isn’t financial advise. Do your own research before making investment decisions.