Instead of looking at financial markets or asset classes on an individual basis, intermarket analysis looks at several strongly correlated markets or asset classes, such as stocks, bonds and commodities. This type of analysis expands on simply looking at each individual market or asset in isolation by also looking at other markets or assets that have a strong relationship to the market or asset being considered.
The US economy is still the largest in the world and the US dollar is still the most powerful currency in the world. Over half of all foreign currency reserves in the world are in US dollars. Thus, the asset classes relative strength will be compared to the US Dollar.
Bitcoin
30 Yr Bond
Copper
Euro Dollar
Gold
Oil
Soybeans
S&P 500
Based on the moving averages and the last daily closing price, relative to the moving averages,
the asset classes’ relative strength, relative to the US Dollar are the following:
Two Weeks Ago
This post is my personal opinion. I’m not a financial advisor, this isn’t financial advise. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
In Elliott Wave terms, Abyss began a wave one advance on May 14. The red wave one (blue sub-waves i-ii-iii-iv-v) finished on June 9, and the red wave two (blue sub-waves a-b-c) correction ended on July 21. If this wave count is correct, Abyss should be heading next towards the June 9 peak in the red wave three.
The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index (known commonly as the S&P 500) is an index with 500 of the top companies in the U.S. Stocks. Because the S&P 500 Index represents approximately 80% of the total value of the U.S. stock market, it’s the bellwether index for the U.S. stock market. In addition, the U.S. stock market is the largest stock market in the world, it’s also the bellweather for equity markets around the world. The S&P 500 is arguably the most important stock market index on the planet.
Because we live in a global economy, the global equity markets interconnected and highly correlated. However, some will outperformance other in the short term and long term. When constructing an equity portfolio, for the best returns one needs to have the ability and the capacity to assess all the major equity markets around to asset allocation purposes. However, the first step is to determine the relative strength of the major equity markets, relative to the bellweather, the S&P 500.
DAX (Germany)
Dow Jones (US)
FTSE 100 (England)
Nasdaq (US)
Nifty 50 (India)
Nikkei 225 (Japan)
Shanghai (China)
Russell 2000 (US)
Based on the moving averages and the last daily closing price, relative to the moving averages,
the world equity markets’ relative strength, relative to the S&P 500 are the following:
Two Weeks Ago
This post is my personal opinion. I’m not a financial advisor, this isn’t financial advise. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
A little quieter across the cryptosphere this week. Price action has been mostly compressed with BTC trying and repeatedly failing to hold 10K. Market volume has dropped substantially, so expect big moves on thin trade – a tough spot from which to profitably day trade.
You’ve probably had a better week than Justin Sun. Bearish for Tron? In the short-term – certainly. The Warren lunch, always a vanity project has backfired bringing yet more negative attention to crypto. Having said that, nothing new in such coverage. Putting my seer’s cap on – mainstream coverage of crypto is set to veer positive in coming months as large institutions such as Bakkt rollout out crypto-related financial services.
Picks of the Week
The ‘Off the Chain’ podcast discussing the obvious signs of global market strain is a standout this week. In addition, the Q2 crypto report from Coin Gecko is a treasure trove of market data and analysis.
If you hold EOS or are interested in DPoS systems this is a must-watch as it’s full of interesting insights -for example, 6 exchanges occupy the top 21 BP positions (highly recommended):
The focus is on Forex but the advice is rock-solid and entirely applicable to trading crypto (highly recommended):
A highly original thinker in the crypto space – discussing the roots of the next possible financial crisis and the probable implications for BTC:
Infographic
BTC supply is being increasingly hoarded (after a substantial sell-off in 2018):
I learned a lot this week and hopefully, this recap proves worth the investment of your time. As always, looking forward to your comments and suggestions.
Note on Sources:
Twitter & Reddit (cryptos current meta-brains) / Medium / Trybe / Hackernoon / Whaleshares / TIMM and so on/ YouTube / various podcasts and whatever else I stumble upon. The aim is a useful weekly aggregator of ideas rather than news. Though I try to keep the sources current – I’ll reference these articles and podcasts etc. as I encounter them – they may have been published just a couple of days ago or in some cases quite a bit earlier.
Sector rotation is the action of shifting investment assets from one sector to another to take advantage of cyclical trends in the overall economy in an attempt to beat the market. Sector rotation seeks to capitalize on the theory that not all sectors of the economy perform well at the same time because sectors of the stock market perform differently during the phases of the economic and market cycle.
For example, defensive sectors such as consumer staples, utility and health care stocks tend to outperform during a recessionary phase, while consumer discretionary and tech stocks tend to fare well during early expansions.
When you trade, you want the strongest stocks in the strongest sectors, which is why you should monitor sector performance carefully. With that said, lets determine the relative strength of the sectors relative to the S&P 500 ETF, SPY for the upcoming week.
Communication Services (XLC)
Consumer Discretionary (XLY)
Consumer Staples (XLP)
Energy (XLE)
Financials (XLF)
Health Care (XLV)
Industrials (XLI)
Materials (XLB)
Real Estate (XLRE)
Technology (XLK)
Utilities (XLU)
Based on the moving averages and the last daily closing price, relative to the moving averages,
the SPDR sectors’ relative strength, relative to the SPY are the following:
Two Weeks Ago
This post is my personal opinion. I’m not a financial advisor, this isn’t financial advise. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Let the fun begin for those of us in the United States. According to a notice by the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) more than 10,000 people will be receiving letters to educate them on their tax liability on cryptocurrency transactions.
Here is a quote from the notice:
“Taxpayers should take these letters very seriously by reviewing their tax filings and when appropriate, amend past returns and pay back taxes, interest and penalties,” said IRS Commissioner Chuck Rettig. “The IRS is expanding our efforts involving virtual currency, including increased use of data analytics. We are focused on enforcing the law and helping taxpayers fully understand and meet their obligations.”
There are three variations: Letter 6173, Letter 6174 or Letter 6174-A, all three versions strive to help taxpayers understand their tax and filing obligations and how to correct past errors.
The letters will begin going out toward the end of August. Let me know in comments if you end up getting one of these letters.
Bitcoin dropped below a major ascending support line earlier today. It’s now sitting on top of known support at $9,400. Is it possible price is painting a larger bullish falling wedge?
In today’s video we’ll discuss where price may be heading next, key areas to watch and so much more. I hope you find it helpful.
I hope this has been helpful. I’d be happy to answer any questions in the comment section below. Until next time, wishing you safe and profitable trading.
Some of the world’s currencies are accepted for most international transactions. The most popular currencies are accepted for most international transactions are the U.S. dollar, the euro, and the yen. However, the U.S. dollar is the most popular.
And in the foreign exchange market 90 of forex trading involves the U.S. dollar. Thus, when assessing the relative strength of the most popular currencies in the world, it’s always against the U.S. dollar, using the dailytime frame chart.
The “major” forex currency pairs are the major countries that are paired with the U.S. dollar (the nicknames of the majors are in parenthesis).
AUD/USD – Australia dollar (Aussie) vs. the U.S. dollar
EUR/USD – Euro vs. the U.S. dollar
GBP/USD – British pound (Sterling or Cable) vs. the U.S. dollar
NZD/USD – New Zealand dollar (Kiwi) vs. the U.S. dollar
USD/CAD – U.S. dollar vs. the Canadian dollar (Loonie)
USD/CHF – U.S. dollar vs. the Swiss franc (Swissie)
USD/JPY – U.S. dollar vs. the Japanese yen (the Yen)
Based on the moving averages and the last daily closing price, relative to the moving averages,
the currency relative strength relative to the US dollar is the following:
Two Weeks Ago
This post is my personal opinion. I’m not a financial advisor, this isn’t financial advise. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Valve’s ‘The International 2019’ (TI19 – the world championship for its game Dota 2) has officially raised the largest single-event prize pool in esports history.
Currently, the total prize pool amounts to $30.4m, thereby surpassing the previously highest single-event prize pool of $30m (provided by Epic Games for its Fortnite Word Cup).
The tournament will be held in China for the first time in 2019, hosted by the Mercedes-Benz Arena in Shanghai from August 15th-25th.
Analysis and Comments
This is a significant development for a number of reasons:
Dota’s ‘The International’ prize pool is almost entirely crowdfunded via an in-game sale of a so-called ‘Battle Pass’,
only 25% of the in-game sales actually go towards the prize pool,
there are still more than 30 days left before cowdfunding stops, and
since the inception of crowdfunding the TI prize pool, the event has consistently broken its own record every year.
In summary, this is an all-time high in prize pool money for any esports event, showcasing both strong and growing support from the gaming community as well as from developers themselves: Last year, Epic Games announced it would support its Fortnite esports scene by providing a total of $100m for the 2018-2019 season, with the game’s World Cup featuring a $30m prize pool. This is the most any publisher has ever committed.
Esports serve a number of purposes, the main being extending the lifeof a game by encouraging and supporting an active gaming community. This is more important now than ever, as developers/publishers are moving away from the one-time up-front payment model towards in-game monetisation via downloadable content (DLCs) over the life of the game.
Justin Sun, is a tech entrepreneur, the founder of the cryptocurrency platform TRON and current CEO of BitTorrent. Justin is former chief representative of the Greater China area of Ripple and Jack Ma (founder of Alibaba) protégé
Over the course of this week, a lot of news came out in regards to the CEO of TRON, Justin Sun after he cancelled the highly anticipated charity lunch between him and the American investor guru, Warren Buffett. Some of this news is still in rumour form so to speak but it has caused quite a stir amongst enthusiasts.
Earlier in the week, these rumours got so bad and inflated that the price of TRX was affected, and not in a good way.
Reports from Chinese media outlets suggested that Sun was charged by the nation’s authorities on internet safety for his supposed connection to money laundering, illegal fundraising, gambling and even spreading pornography.
And so with this, according to the Twitter user, cnLedger, Sun is banned from leaving the country.
