Prediction…Beyond Meat Goes Down To $100 First Before Up To $200 – Part 3

Beyond Meat priced its initial public offering at $25 and skyrocket 800% in less than four months. Beyond Meat, a maker of plant-based meat controls about 10% of the plant based meat market.  And because they have achieved “first to market” they are the new IT THING on Wall Street.  But there valuation is beyond ridiculous.   Their valuation is higher than roughly 25% of the companies in the S&P 500 index and their “first to market” competitive advantage expired.

Kellogg (K) introduced “Incogmeato” and their plant-based burger patties, Chik’n tenders, and Chik’n nuggets which go on sale in early 2020.  Hormel Foods announced its plant-based meat substitute called “Happy Little Plants” is available at select retailers.  The Impossible Foods launched the Impossible Burger through Burger King in August.  Kroger said they will sell a new line of branded plant-based burgers, other meatless products like dips, pasta sauces and cookie dough in the coming months under their Simple Truth Plant Based label.

Beyond Meat Inc. was initiated at sell with a $120 price target at CFRA, with analyst Arun Sundaram saying the plant-based meat company will be overtaken by bigger players entering the space.

“We think larger packaged food companies will end up as the category leaders in the space given their vast global footprint and embedded relationships throughout the supply chain,” Sundaram wrote in a note. “Yet we expect Beyond Meat to be the greatest disrupter in this space since no public packaged food peer comes close to Beyond Meat in terms of research and development spend as a percentage of sales.”

Sundaram notes that “many think Impossible Foods’ Impossible Burger tastes better than the Beyond Burger.”

Source

The call is a bit late and should have been made when the chart was suggesting that price was going lower.

But now we are just $10 from that $100 level I talked about one month ago.

The $100 level represents price at a discount.  But, don’t listen to me, just pay attention to what the Smart Money is doing.

Heading into the third quarter of 2019, a total of 16 of the hedge funds tracked by Insider Monkey held long positions in this stock, a change of 16 from one quarter earlier.

With a general bullishness amongst the heavyweights, some big names have jumped into Beyond Meat, Inc. (NASDAQ:BYND) headfirst. Citadel Investment Group, managed by Ken Griffin, created the most valuable call position in Beyond Meat, Inc. (NASDAQ:BYND). Citadel Investment Group had $117.8 million invested in the company at the end of the quarter. OZ Management also initiated a $11.9 million position during the quarter. The other funds with brand new BYND positions are Brad Farber’s Atika Capital, Robert Henry Lynch’s Aristeia Capital, and Anthony Bozza’s Lakewood Capital Management.

Source

I personally envision the $100 level will be an accumulation level for the Smart Money.  I think price will hang out near the $100 level for a bit, until the Smart Money is able to fill all their buy orders and then I think price will move higher.

Prediction…Beyond Meat Goes Down To $100 First Before Up To $200

Prediction…Beyond Meat Goes Down To $100 First Before Up To $200 – Part 2

This post is my personal opinion. I’m not a financial advisor, this isn’t financial advise. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Blue Wren

Doing bird things..




Categoryanimalphotography
Camera ~ LensNikon D3400 DSLR ~ 55-200 mm
LocationAustralia

Prompt / Theme: Define good, bad and evil.


Giveaway ? – 2 winner
Prize: 1 Steem Basic Income Unit + 5 CCC

Winners will be chosen randomly after post payout.


Rules:
  • ? No Upvote, No Resteem, No Follow – just your responding comment required to enter.
  • Comment a reply directly to this post within 7 days. A genuine (family friendly) comment responding to the theme / prompt is required.
  • Posted or Commented 5 or more times during the week this post is active.
  • Not be on @cheetah’s blacklist.

Thanks for having a look ?

If you liked this photo follow @kiokizz for more.


Liberland show

In this episode our guest Joey Langenbrunner, Deputy Head of Mission to The US, discusses:

1) Liberland’s most recent visit to the United Nations
2) Liberland on Google Maps
3) The Liberland Aid Foundation (liberlandfoundation.org)

Contact Joey:
ohio@liberland.org

Follow the Liberland Show:
iTunes: itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/liberland-show/id1442988844…
Spotify: open.spotify.com/show/6oGiaY901GlfWbaFqgEEaF
Google Podcasts: https://www.google.com/podcasts…

*Our show is hosted by Adam J. Carswell

BTC update: 21 October

As BTC grows so it slows. This is a little frustrating to those of us who have grown used to the rapidly changing BTC market of old, but on the other hand, it’s a positive sign of adoption and of maturation.

While on that subject, I would like to remind everybody just how far we’ve come since late 2017 (when BTC was at the height of a major bull run). We may not see the developments taking place on a day-to-day basis, we may not notice how much the market has changed since then, but it HAS!

Think of the primitive wallets you used two years ago. Think of the clunky exchanges and their primitive user interfaces. Think of all the new crypto derivatives products, the regulations which make institutional investment possible, the constant mainstream news coverage. The price doesn’t reflect it, but crypto has made good use of the bear market and subsequent consolidation period. Crypto has grown – something that will stand it in good stead when hype picks up again. For example: Bitcoin’s hash rate is currently about six times what it was when BTC was at its All Time High. Crypto is fully ready for the next bull run, now it’s just a question of waiting for the investors to catch up!

Without further ado, let’s look at some charts:

Forecast:

My last couple of posts on Twitter have looked something like this:

It is my belief that BTC price is forming a bear flag, from which I expect it to drop into the low $7000s, possibly even into the $6000s if the $7000 psychological support level fails to hold.

For this reason I have made the mid-to-low $7000s my “Buy Zone”, while anything in the $6000s is my “Buy Like Crazy Zone”. I do not anticipate a scenario where BTC drops below $6000.

However, my already-published Bear Flag Charts can not be quite correct. I say this because BTC broke below their base this weekend, but then recovered. Analysing this, I have concluded that the most likely scenario is that a bear flag is still forming, and I have adjusted my charts accordingly to incorporate the recent price dip. My latest interpretation of the flag is depicted by the shaded rectangle on the chart below.

The most likely short-term future scenario is now that BTC will climb in price until it reaches the top of the flag again. This will occur at approximately $9000. Thereafter, BTC should drop back to the bottom of the flag and break through into the “Buy Zone” (at least I hope it will). I expect such a downwards break to occur in the last three days of October.

You may have noticed a thin, dotted, horizontal red line at $7600 on the charts, this is merely a price alert that I have set at that level. If it triggers, I will fine-tune my own buy prices, because I’m looking to buy from $7500 downwards.

Accuracy and probability:

My original bear flag was a text book example of a bear flag. For this reason I had fairly high confidence in it, though flag and pennants are never a sure thing. After the adjustment of the flag, it may be that it becomes more of a Descending Channel than a bear flag, but this doesn’t really matter because:

1) The outcome of the two patterns is identical,
2) The two patterns have similar levels of predictive reliability (around 70%).

Unfortunately there are many different possible scenarios that could occur from this point forwards. For this reason it is difficult to confidently predict any specific scenario with certainty. BTC may continue to rise now and break out of the top of the flag – destroying it completely, or it could continue sideways and begin to create some other pattern.

What I have described in this post in my best guess, based on current levels of market hype (low), volume (stagnant), previous price movement patterns and long-term trendlines. I am about 50% sure that BTC will take a dip to the low $7000s/$6000s, find the long-term trendline and then move gradually upwards again. It’s also worth remembering that during times such as these, markets often plunge unexpectedly, followed by a very rapid recovery. Such a price movement may move well beyond the levels predicted, and could be exploited by shrewd traders who have their order prices set to catch it.

Yours in crypto

Bit Brain

All charts made by Bit Brain with TradingView

“The secret to success: find out where people are going and get there first” 

~ Mark Twain

“Crypto does not require institutional investment to succeed; institutions require crypto investments to remain successful” 

~ Bit Brain

Bit Brain recommends:

Crypto Exchanges:




Intuitive Surgical Strikes Again

Intuitive Surgical, Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets da Vinci surgical systems, and related instruments and accessories. Its da Vinci Surgical System transforms the surgeon’s natural hand movements outside the body into corresponding micro-movements inside the patient’s body.

Intuitive Surgical, Inc. has been at the forefront of robot-assisted surgery for more than two decades. The beauty of their products is they allow quicker recovery times for patients undergoing surgery through minimally-invasive surgery which lower the bill for all parties involved.

Traditional open surgery involves a large cut so the surgeon can see the part of the bodying being worked on.  Minimally invasive surgery involves small cuts and accessories like small tools, cameras, and lights that fit through several tiny cuts in your skin.  And minimally invasive surgeries done by robotic technology allows for more precise control through an operative field in 3-D resulting in a speedier recovery spent at home vs. in the hospital. 

Robotic surgery is steadily carving its niche across a wide array of surgical fields within MedTech. In neurosurgery, image-guided robots enable the examination of brain lesions without resulting in any major damage to adjacent tissues.   In orthopedics, robotic surgery helps shape the femur to precisely fit prosthetic hip-joint replacements. Currently, an increasing number of orthopedic surgeons are opting for robot-assisted surgery for knee, hip and spine.  Robot-assisted surgery has also been finding its application in urology, especially in prostatectomy. Complex gynecological surgeries have also been witnessing the increasing adoption of robotics, using the Da Vinci Surgical System.

Source

It’s no wonder that over
the last five years, Intuitive Surgical earnings per share have grown 21% per
year, which has translated for their stock price increasing 28% per year during
that same time frame.  And this past
week, their earning results continue to impress.

Intuitive Surgical
reported earnings per share of $3.43 a share in the third quarter, beating
expectations of $2.96.  Revenue also
topped expectations at $1,128 million, compared to $921 million in the third
quarter of 2018.

The company credited the earnings beat due to increased U.S. general surgery and worldwide urologic procedures utilizing their da Vinci robot.

Image result for da vinci robot

275 da Vinci robot were shipped in the quarter, an increase of 19% vs. the year-earlier period.  There are now there were 5,406 installed da Vinci systems worldwide and this number will only increase as the cost of health care continues to rise.

Source

Speaking of rising, where is the stock heading next, let go to the charts to find out? Right now the playing field is between the weekly demand at $450 and the weekly supply at $580.

Thus, the chart suggests to go short if price makes it up to the daily supply at $580.

This post is my personal opinion. I’m not a financial advisor, this isn’t financial advise. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Warren Buffett is Stock Piling Cash – This chart may be why

The Oracle of Omaha has been building a warchest of cash and generally when that happens it is because he’s betting on a discount buying opportunity.

Whether that comes to fruition and we see a drop in stocks in the next year or so is anyone’s guess. However, it seems the chart in this post is an indicator Buffett pays attention too.

Wilshire 5000 to GDP Ratio

The Wilshire is considered the benchmark index to measure all U.S. equities. After all it has 6,700 stocks in it, thus we can be comfortable that it is a solid representation of the broader market.

Well apparently Buffett, and others, use the index against nominal quarterly gross domestic product (GDP) to determine valuation of the market.

That is what the chart is showing and as you can see based on that measure the market is valued high – as high as it was in 2008 with valuation climbing for nearly 10 straight years.

Does this guarantee stocks will go lower? – Nope. I learned long ago that nothing has to happen, we can always get more overvalued.

It does mean there is alot of downside risk right now for what is likely limited upside, which is usually not the risk profile you want for an investment.

The Sunday Crypto Recap – Down the Rabbit Hole 51

Price action remained bearish though some high-profile Alts showed signs of life. BTC metrics (aside from short-term price) remained bullish. Binance continued to provide a model of revenue earning by providing wanted services. EOS saw the publishing of a number of meaningful governance proposals amongst other developments. Craig Wright and Tone Vays conducted another round of name-calling and circus clown performances – another week in crypto. Don’t be fooled by bearish sentiment – lots going on, progress throughout the ecosystem – patience and solid investment decisions will, in time, be rewarded.


Picks of the Week

This rebuttal of Ripple’s ‘distance’ from XRP. Colin’s deep dive into recent EOS governance proposals is also very informative.


Twitter

Despite recent bearish price action has this been an accelerated run-up for BTC?:
https://twitter.com/PrestonPysh/status/1183041162518683649

BTC defined:
https://twitter.com/francispouliot_/status/1184627170234294272

Employment numbers for the larger crypto companies:
https://twitter.com/lawmaster/status/1182957621952663554

Libra sheds more members…scan down to Nick Sabo comments…:
https://twitter.com/davidmarcus/status/1182775728431087623

A brief analysis of IEO performance:
https://twitter.com/lawmaster/status/1184454371305775104

Addressing exchange EOS voting:
https://twitter.com/GenerEOSAus/status/1183949268903612416

The crypto circus:
https://twitter.com/voice0fcrypto/status/1184532883576410123

EOS 1.8 update – lots of potential going forward:
https://twitter.com/Jesta187/status/1184687423487270913

Binance continues to iterate and develop at breakneck speed:
https://twitter.com/binance/status/1184671792780066818


Articles

Libra…cough…buy Bitcoin:
https://www.theblockcrypto.com/post/42979/ebay-and-stripe-drop-out-of-facebooks-libra

Telegram…cough…buy Bitcoin:
https://btcmanager.com/sec-telegram-gram-cryptocurrency/?q=/sec-telegram-gram-cryptocurrency/&q=/sec-telegram-gram-cryptocurrency/

Big BTC projects continue to attract investment:
https://fortune.com/2019/10/15/what-is-bitcoin-mining-layer1-peter-thiel-crypto-investment/

The humble Satoshi explained (recommended):
https://thenextweb.com/hardforkbasics/2019/10/16/understanding-bitcoins-smallest-unit-the-satoshi/

EOS governance proposal by Dan Larimer (recommended):
https://medium.com/@bytemaster/blockchain-governance-proposal-470478e42686

EOS New York on governance and incentives (recommended):
https://medium.com/eos-new-york/uniting-stake-holder-incentives-to-maximize-decentralization-performance-530af1560401


Podcasts

A brief explanation of the key principles of Libertarianism:

https://podcasts.apple.com/au/podcast/two-minute-crypto-key-concepts-11-what-is-libertarianism/id1441492450?i=1000452829550


A succinct rejection of Ripple’s claims of separation between it and XRP / Timestamp – 27.54 (highly recommended):

https://podcasts.apple.com/au/podcast/weekly-news-roundup-10-11-deals-bitwise-etf-ruling/id1480586463?i=1000453135310


YouTube

A wide-ranging and reasoned discussion of key crypto trends and issues between the Crypto Lark and Ivan on Tech:​


Light-hearted presentation aside, this is a useful round-up of recent positive metrics for BTC:


For when a newbie asks you to explain blockchain (recommended):


Colin decrypts the new EOS governance proposal – very thorough (highly recommended):


Colin on IRS tax ruling:


Infographics

The rate of growth of 1000 BTC addresses (purple line) now matches the early growth in Bitcoin’s network…:

https://twitter.com/woonomic/status/1182754062107852802/photo/1


EOS token values compared:

https://twitter.com/Douglas_Horn/status/1184615387243020290/photo/1


Website / Utility

If you are interested in tracking the make-up of BTC holdings:

https://bitinfocharts.com/top-100-richest-bitcoin-addresses.html


A whale of a week. Remember price is only one of many metrics with which to evaluate the cryptosphere. As always, looking forward to your comments and suggestions.


Note on Sources:

Twitter & Reddit (cryptos current meta-brains) / Medium / Trybe / Hackernoon / Whaleshares / TIMM and so on/ YouTube / various podcasts and whatever else I stumble upon. The aim is a useful weekly aggregator of ideas rather than news. Though I try to keep the sources current – I’ll reference these articles and podcasts etc. as I encounter them – they may have been published just a couple of days ago or in some cases quite a bit earlier.

Did You Go Out And Buy WD-40 Too??? – Part 2

WD-40 which stands for “water displacing” was first used by the military in the ’50s to clean up Atlas missile parts. Throughout the years, people have found over 2000 uses for WD-40. Growing up in the projects of NYC, I have seen my fair share of roaches, but I just found out I in addition to using Raid Roach spray, I could of used WD-40 for instant kills as well.

Three months ago, I wrote a post about WD-40,

Did You Go Out And Buy WD-40 Too???

We all know it, have seen it, probably even take it for granted. I’m talking about WD-40. It has infinite uses and is the real utility knife. Just to get you acquainted again with WD-40, here are just 10 of the the 2000 uses of WD-40.

Despite the bump up in price this week, the levels in play and to monitor are the $150 level on the downside and the $188 level on the upside.

I like to think I’m creative with my titles, so the title three months ago was a play on words. Everyone should have WD-40 in the cabinet. However, WD-40 wasn’t a buy three months ago simply put, because the upper limit was $190, the reward wasn’t worth the risk. But thinking about this further, I guess it’s all relative and depends on what type of investor / trader you are. Anyway lets get back to WD-40.

WD-40 is a straight cash money making machine.  The company has grown their dividends on a year basis that’s equivalent to 9% over the last 10 years.  WD-40 has been growing its earnings per share at 13% each year over the past 5 years.  It’s no wonder institutional investors hold almost 90% of the stock. 

WD-40 reported earnings this past week. Although they beat earnings expectations, their outlook was below expectations and on the news the stock price fell the next trading day, but came storming back closing $7 up on the day. However, the fact that price breached a major resistance/support line, I think the risk is to the downside now.

This post is my personal opinion. I’m not a financial advisor, this isn’t financial advise. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Liberland Show

In this episode our guest Petr Krovina, Chief of Staff for Liberland, discusses:

1) His background in acting and playing American Football
2) Liberland E-Residency updates
3) Floating Man 2020 (floatingman.ll.land)

Contact Petr:
facebook.com/liberland

Follow the Liberland Show:
iTunes: itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/liberland-show/id1442988844…
Spotify: open.spotify.com/show/6oGiaY901GlfWbaFqgEEaF
Google Podcasts: https://www.google.com/podcasts…

*Our show is hosted by Adam J. Carswell

Reducing Capital Gains Taxes on Real Estate, Legally!

There are many expenses involved when selling real estate taxes is one of the biggest, especially if you have to pay capital gains.

However, if you know the tax rules then the amount of taxes you pay (if any) can be drastically reduced.  Let’s cover a few ways to reduce that tax burden.

Reducing Capital Gains Taxes on Real Estate, Legally!

1.) Short-term vs Long-term capital gains

Properties that are held for more than a year are taxed at the long-term capital gains rate.  This is noteworthy because that tax rate is 0% up to $39,475 for a single filer.  Then it jumps to 15% and holds there all the way up to $434,000.

If you buy and sell a property within one year then it’s taxed as short-term gains and you pay the ordinary income tax rates which start off at 10% up to $9,700 and progresses to 12% up to $39,475 before jumping to 15% and so on and so forth with 37% being the top tax rate.

2.) Increase Your Cost Basis

The price you pay for a property is your cost basis in the eyes of the IRS.  Meaning if you spent 150K to acquire a property and sold it for 200K then you have a 50k taxable gain.

If you completed capital improvements on the property those costs can be added to your costs basis though.  Be sure to keep those receipts so you can tack on that 8K cost for a new roof and reduce the tax burden.

3.) Do a 1031-Exchange

Many investors have heard of this one and it gives you the ability to not pay capital gains (or technically postpone them) on the sale of a property by rolling the money into another property.

It’s deemed a “like-kind” exchange meaning you sell an investment property to buy another investment property that is used similarly.

There is a 45 day window to identify properties to the IRS that you plan to buy and then you must close on one of them within 180 days to avoid triggering the capital gains tax.

Plenty of other rules and methods…

Those are just three ways to alleviate the tax burden, there are many other options out there such as investing from a self-directed IRA and so on.  This is why it’s important to have a solid account knowledgeable in real estate investing.

Be sure to have them work you through the all the options and verify the examples I have given above as I’m an investor, not an accountant.

Having to pay some taxes is a good problem to have.  It means you are doing profitable deals and are buying right.  Always use the property calculator to ensure you buy right!