Bitcoin Price Drop – Prime Example that Higher Time Frames Dominate

We talked about it in my post a couple days ago, looking at the weekly chart and basically saying “who would buy that?”

There is a reason we look at larger time frames and not just the daily and hourly charts.  Looking at something like the weekly gives us a broad view of what is going on day to day and even cleans it up a bit for us.

This is why I always say “Higher Time Frames Dominate.”

You best case scenario is when the weekly, daily and even hourly chart are all indicating the same direction.

For instance, the weekly is in an uptrend and the daily just did a bullish u-turn pattern after a pullback in what is otherwise an uptrend.

That is a solid entry signal and a position you can hold for some extension, not just a quick trade.

However, when the weekly is looking ugly after reversing hard and being extended to the upside (hint: how it ended last week) then you need to be quick and nimble with your trades to the upside on the daily chart.

I sometimes forget this myself, which is what happened when I decided not to book profits at 11k on a trade I entered at 10.1K.

Had I’d looked back at the weekly the sell trigger gets pulled in no time flat.

Let’s look at the weekly chart again…

As I mentioned in the post a couple days back, price failed to break higher after ignoring the reversal candle from a few weeks ago.  The odds were price coming back to at least 9800 and meeting the 10 period average.

We have seen a bit more than that on today’s sell off, but either way odds were for price to pullback based on this longer time frame.

If you are not looking at the weekly chart to gain reference of the overall price action it is advisable to do so in my opinion.  It’s another tool in the tool belt.

To learn about how I use multiple time frame analysis and spot support and resistance points check out the ScaredyCatGuide to Investing in Cryptocurrency videos on my website.  They are free to watch!

BITCOIN: Still having doubts about the count?

well…. I confess I had a moment of “panic” yessterday when I saw BITCOIN rising up a little but the doubt was obviously temporary because what we see now is a perfect “fit” of BITCOIN and my proposed EW Count.

You can read the calls I did here (3 days ago) , here (4 days ago) and here (almost a week ago)…

The formation is clear, 3-3-5 Flat correction.

There are at least two possibilities:

  • BTC has touched support already at 9400 USD
  • BTC will touch support at least at 8800 USD which is the projected target of the HS pattern

One of my buying orders have been filled already at 9400 USD… the second is waiting for a further oversold condition at the RSI indicator.

Just one comment more…I think the correction is done but, as usual, no one can be 100% sure… so, do your own research and proper assessment before taking any decision but… in my opinion we are going UP soon!!!!!

Enjoy!

@toofasteddie


Disclaimer: This is just my personal point of view, please, do your own assessment and act consequently. Neither this post nor myself is responsible of any of your profit/losses obtained as a result of this information.


Crypto Contest July 16: PTON

PTON (Bittrex: PTONBTC) has broken out of the triangle pattern in the four-hour chart.

(Chart courtesy of Tradingview.com (log scale))

Elliott Wave Analysis

In Elliott Wave terms, PTON began a wave one advance on June 29. The red wave one (blue sub-waves i-ii-iii-iv-v) finished on July 7, and the red wave two (blue sub-waves a-b-c) correction ended on July 15. If this wave count is correct, PTON should be heading next towards the July 7 peak in the red wave three.

(Chart courtesy of Tradingview.com (log scale))

Funnymentals

Foresting is a social media platform that rewards content creators for their time and creativity by using blockchain technology. PTON is the cryptocurrency that will be used as a reward on the Foresting platform. You can watch their intro video below.

(Sources: Foresting and YouTube)

How can I vote? Where is the contest?

You can vote by following this link.

Live On the ScaredyCat Investor Show Build Team CEO @thecryptodrive Talks DLease! 8pm UTC (4pm EDT) on MSPWaves

You are not gonna want to miss this one!  DLease has made earning passive income off your steem coins easier than ever – and even better, the rate of return is a market best.

Show agenda for…

  • Interview with Build Team CEO @thecryptodrive as we talk DLease
  • Let’s make it rain some PAL Coin
  • The Crypto Market Check (Cat’s Price Chart Calls are on Fire)
  • And some good music if we have the time!

———————————————————————————————————————–

Come and Join Us!

Hear it on discord: https://discord.gg/ZvwASjs

Join audience chat: https://discord.gg/77MCBer
Vimm TV: https://www.vimm.tv/@msp-waves

Only on…

Is Steemit.inc ready for the next Alt season?

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Its really a simple question tied into an inevitable event. If you havent washed out already and you stuck with alt coins during these lows it will probably pay off for you eventually. It wont pay off for you as much as if you followed Bitcoin to 12k and then sold into Steem again but those of you that were unapologetic hodlers will get their time.

Now there is something to remember… Not all alts are going up and with Steem dropping slowly but surely towards the 100 rank in MC it is a question as if we will ride the wave as well. But lets be positive for a moment.

There needs to be a plan once the sentiment shifts. Maybe the EIP is one of the things that will help. Who can say? But what i think Steem needs is a solid project to drop at the right time.

SMTs. Yep.. The illusive SMTs.

People like to talk about them as the second coming but during a bear market, had they launched SMTs i highly doubt anyone would have noticed.
But maybe when the research into what token is undervalued, what great things are created whereever, that just might be the moment for SMTs to shine.

Look, the expected players will have great gains. ETH, LTC, EOS, TRX. It doesnt matter what they offer or what future they have. It really doesnt. It might be the lowest of quality spam transactions and illegal activity. It just doenst matter.

Hell, even today Justin Sun tweeted how they have 500 active dapps and i went and did a count.. I didnt go all the way but 70 of the top 100 dapps on TRON is illegal gambling dapps.

I mean its all a cheap facade what the industry leaders put up but moonboys dont care… So what Steemit.inc needs to do is throw some moonboy bait.

Time it well and hook us some trading volume. Hopefully have a marketing budget ready. 😉

Ill see you soon.

Save some of your SBD in the wallet…

…because you will have the chance to buy STEEM even enormously cheaper soon!!!!

We all thought Steemit INC was planning somehow to reduce the amount of STEEM they used to withdraw to the exchanges due to the excellent cost reduction and new incomes coming from Ads revenue but…

Not!!!!

Instead of reducing, they are increasing!

Last Tuesday:

Just today (less than a week later):

340,000 STEEM thrown out to the exchanges in just 6 DAYS!!!

This is what I call an Excellent “Programmatic but Erratically weird spoil Sell“…. and the best of all, I am sure they are selling at any price so, save your SBD and be prepared to buy STEEM below 0.20 USD or much lower because once STEEM reaches the 101 position the SURVIVING MODE will come back again.

It is really painful to see this happenning…

…but I am keeping being positive with the Long Term future for STEEM… we just need @steemit to finish squeezing the lemon, though…

For the moment I am keeping all my SBD at the wallet and exchanging the liquid Steem I have earned to SBD as well… this is the only way to avoid further losess due to both, the Market correction and the @steemit “Programmatic Sells”…

@toofasteddie

Crypto Contest July 15: Hxro

Hxro (Bittrex: HXROBTC) has broken out of the triangle pattern in the four-hour chart.

(Chart courtesy of Tradingview.com (log scale))

Elliott Wave Analysis

In Elliott Wave terms, Hxro began a wave one advance on June 27. The red wave one (blue sub-waves i-ii-iii-iv-v) finished on June 30, and the red wave two (blue sub-waves a-b-c) correction ended on July 13. If this wave count is correct, Hxro should be heading next towards the June 30 peak in the red wave three.

(Chart courtesy of Tradingview.com (log scale))

Funnymentals

Hxro is a player-vs-player crypto gaming platform that intersects trading with skill-based social gaming. Jacob Canfield tested the game earlier this year.

(Sources: Hxro and YouTube)

How can I vote? Where is the contest?

You can vote by following this link.

Pounding the Table on $TWTR before earnings…

The twitter setup is there. The shorts a skeptics are on defense and the buyers have the ball. We have seen plenty of fumbles, and turnovers over the past few years but I beleive that $TWTR turned the corner last earnings and this earnings will have to PROVE IT. If this earnings passes the test the buyers and the stock will be off to the races. The pattern is there, the technicals are there, the past earnings report was promising, the expectations are low. Can Jack and company pull through?

This is what we in the technical business call an old fashioned cup and handle pattern. The stock tells a story. Every one usually does. You have the IPO run to 70+, then you have the sell off down to the teens and base. Now we are holding higher….and ready to explode. If $TWTR can pull off a run up into earnings and a gap and go, you ear looking at TWTR going back to all time highs in 2019.

Long $TWTR

BITCOIN: Trading Volume inclined to TETHER

Not only altcoins have been suffering the market correction…People, trying to increase desperately their stakes on BITCOIN is what we have seen these days…Everyone is panic selling their altcoins in order to avoid losing further…but this action does not avoid at all the losses since what we can see today is that the 24h volume of TETHER (USDT) is increasing while BITCOIN volume is decreasing…

During the past few days the volume between Tether and BITCOIN has stayed under equilibrium, in a proportion of 1 to 1, meaning that, for instance, we had exactly the same amount of Volume (24h) as you can see below in the pic I get yesterday:

Now, we have 1 Billion difference, meaning that BITCOIN is being Shortening .

I confess I did sell some BTC a couple of days ago as well, since the forecast seems clear and the count launches a 3-3-5 Correction…

Now, I am going to be focused on two main price levels:

  • The range between 9400 and 9700 USD
  • The 8800 USD price level which is the target of the HS pattern.

Observing these two levels can bring me the chance to get between 17 and 25% more bitcoin and so getting more BTC for the same amount of FIAT (Dollar averaging).

Let’s see how the market evolves.

@toofasteddie


Disclaimer: This is just my personal point of view, please, do your own assessment and act consequently. Neither this post nor myself is responsible of any of your profit/losses obtained as a result of this information.

Bitcoin Analysis: “Who Would Buy That Chart”

Last night I was looking at the weekly chart of bitcoin and chatting with other crypto investors on the steemleo discord server.

I pulled up a weekly chart of bitcoin and pasted it in chat and said “who would buy that chart?”

At the time bitcoin was at 11,300…..I woke up this morning to see exactly why I said that as we have seen bitcoin (and others) sell off hard in the past 8 hours.

Kidding aside, it screamed don’t buy me yet

Looking at this chart you can see the reversal candle from a few weeks ago that the bulls decided they were going to to and trump and nearly did so.  However, price was not able to breach that prior high at 13,900 and rolling back down price came.

Now this week’s candle is set to close in about 8 hours and has an ugly upper wick and room on the down side with support at 9,800 and the 10 period moving average still far away, currently at 9,200 and likely to move up to 9600 or so with the new candle.

Alot of signs saying price will test 10K again.

This is not to say one should have sold out or shorted last night….it just goes back to the title of this post:

“Who Would Buy That Chart”

If you want to learn how I read charts and the three simple things I use to trade crypto check out my scaredycat to investing in crypto videos.  They are free to watch and are not on youtube.