? Daily Crypto News, August, 16th?

  • Coinbase CEO: Institutions Depositing $200-400M Into Crypto Per Week ;
  • Steemit to Automate Development Funding With New DAO ;
  • A Big Four Audit Firm Lost $1 Million In Bitcoin. Victims Are Losing Patience ;
  • Ripple to Give Away 1 Billion XRP in Massive Bid to Fund Online Content ;
  • Binance to Resume US Operations Within Two Months, Predicts CEO CZ ;
  • ? Daily Crypto Calendar, August, 16th?
  • STEEM Trading Update

Welcome to the Daily Crypto News: A complete Press Review, Coin Calendar and Trading Analysis. Enjoy!

? Coinbase CEO: Institutions Depositing $200-400M Into Crypto Per Week

Bitcoin (BTC) adoption by institutions has gone from a myth to fact in the past year, the CEO of major cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase has said. 


‘We know the answer’ about adoption: Armstrong


Speaking on Twitter Aug. 16, Brian Armstrong said that 2019 had formed the year of reckoning for institutional Bitcoin uptake, with the trend now obvious. He wrote: 


“Whether institutions were going to adopt crypto or not was an open question about 12 months ago. I think it’s safe to say we now know the answer. We’re seeing $200-400M a week in new crypto deposits come in from institutional customers.” 

Coinbase becomes world’s largest crypto custodian


Armstrong made the comments hours after Coinbase confirmed its acquisition of the international operations of storage giant Xapo. 
The move, as Cointelegraph reported, put Coinbase top of the institutional manager list for crypto with $7 billion of assets under custody. 

? Steemit to Automate Development Funding With New DAO

Steemit, a blockchain project that focuses on monetizing social media sites, has given details of a coming code upgrade that will usher in big economic changes.


Announced on Wednesday, the steem blockchain will undergo its 21st hard fork on Aug. 27 – one that will build in a new Worker Proposal System aimed to allow the blockchain to “fund its own development.”

The new system – set up as a decentralized autonomous organization, or DAO – will allow Steem users to publicly propose work they are willing to do in return for payment in the project’s native cryptocurrency, steem dollars (SBD). The Steem.DAO will provide a way for the platform’s users to vote on proposals, weighted by their stake in the platform.

? A Big Four Audit Firm Lost $1 Million In Bitcoin. Victims Are Losing Patience

The Takeaway:


QuadrigaCX’s former users are running out of patience with Miller Thomson and EY, the court-appointed companies tasked with recovering their missing funds.

The users want more transparency into EY’s investigation of Quadriga’s missing funds, as well as a better understanding of how the audit firm accidentally lost 103 bitcoin earlier this year.

Some users are contemplating finding new legal representation due to their frustrations with Miller Thomson.
Ripple has until mid-September to file its response.

? Binance to Resume US Operations Within Two Months, Predicts CEO CZ

Changpeng Zhao, CEO of major cryptocurrency exchange Binance, has predicted that Binance will resume crypto-to-fiat operations in the United States within the next two months.


Navigating U.S. regulation


Zhao, also known as CZ within the crypto community, made his prediction in an interview with online news outlet Cheddar published Aug. 15. When asked about Binance’s return to operations in the U.S., Zhao said: 


“I don’t want to promise any fixed dates, but there’s a lot of work being done and there’s a lot of things going on in flux, but I would say in a month or two.”

image.png

? Daily Crypto Calendar, August, 16th?

“Xensor will be listed in Digifinex exchange on August 16, 2019.”

V1.4.3 release, which includes filesharing and continuous backups, by August 16.

Trading: begins August 16, 2019 at 3:00PM (UTC+8). Trading pairs will be ABBC/BTC and ABBC/USDT.

Skycoin’s bi-weekly development update for week 32 & 33 of 2019.

“The team is set to host their first live AMA on 17th August to answer all your questions!”

image.png

STEEM Trading Update by my friend @cryptopassion

Here is the chart of yersterday :

STEEMUSD.jpg

Here is the current chart :

STEEMUSD.jpg

So the support line created by the previous low has been broken and as predicted, the drop has continued on the STEEM. We have no real support now at these levels. We are having currently at little bounce but if we cannot go higher than the line that we just broke, I expect that it is just a pull back before the drop continuation.

image.png

Last Updates

image.png

Join this new Free To Play on the STEEM Platform !

Bitcoin: All Consolidation Must End

Bitcoin continues to consolidate within a massive range between $12,400 and $9,400.

In today’s video we discuss where bitcoin may be heading next, key areas to watch and so much more. I hope you find it helpful.

Video Analysis:

If you don’t see the above video, navigate to TIMM (https://mentormarket.io/profile/?workin2005/) or Steemit in order to watch.

I hope this has been helpful. I’d be happy to answer any questions in the comment section below. Until next time, wishing you safe and profitable trading.

Workin

If you found this post informative, please:

upvote.gif

Get paid for viewing ads and Support the Crypto Ecosystem with Brave Browser. Free download here:
https://brave.com/wor485

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/workin2005
Twitter: https://twitter.com/workin2005
Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/Workin2005
Feature Image By: Saul Gravy

Where Is The Dax Headed Next??? – Part 2

I talked about the DAX most recently, three weeks ago,

Where Is The Dax Headed Next???

The DAX is a blue chip stock market index consisting of the 30 major German companies trading on the Frankfurt Stock Exchange.  And Germany, the biggest economy in Europe is stalling.   Germany is an export country and so they have been hit hard by the trade tariff between China and the US and the all the uncertainty surrounding Brexit.

You put all these issues in a pot and the finish product is an inevitable recession.  An inevitable recession was further supported by the recent ZEW Survey.  ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment is a leading indicator for the German economy. The recent ZEW Survey showed sentiment among investors fell to -44.1 from -24.5 in July, its lowest since Dec. 2011.

Germany Is Flirting With Recession After Investor Confidence Falls

Source

Since price broke the 12200 level and formed a “M” pattern, also known as a reversal pattern,

I’m not sure if price will get back to the 12220 level for a short,

so lets see if price to push to the downside and pull back for a short.

This post is my personal opinion. I’m not a financial advisor, this isn’t financial advise. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Ag Analysis Report – 8/14/19…Yep, Corn Prices Went A Lot Lower

This past weekend I talked about how the latest AccuWeather 2019 crop production analysis predicts a significant decline from last year’s corn and soybean yield.  And how this past Monday, the fate of many farmers would be decided by the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) is a monthly report that forecast supply and demand for major crops (global and United States) and livestock (U.S. only).  But this was another example of why I don’t really care about reports, news or Trump twits because price action trumps everything and the chart suggested corn prices were going to decline. 

Ag Analysis Report – 8/9/19…Is Corn Prices Going Lower???

The Agriculture Department on Monday said farmers planted a bigger corn area than analysts estimated and pegged crop yields that also exceeded expectations, sparking the biggest rout in futures since 2013. That was a blow to growers who were holding back supplies, hoping a rally that started in May due to delayed sowing would extend through the fall.

“This is a huge disappointment for farmers that have already been struggling with a lot of uncertainty with this corn crop, trade wars and what have you,” said Tanner Ehmke, manager of the research team at CoBank, a $138 billion lender to the agriculture industry. “A lot of people were banking on the opportunity to sell at much higher prices. This report now really brings that into question.”

Source

DDRUUUMM RROOLLLLLLL

I do feel story for all the farmers in the Midwest as they have just been reduced to pawns, as Trump continues to play chess with China.  And like the big Ag companies, I would love to teach those farmers how to hedge their crops with futures so they can protect themselves win, lose or draw.

If there was one message I could send the farmers, it would be the chart suggests price will retest the weekly demand at $356.

This post is my personal opinion. I’m not a financial advisor, this isn’t financial advise. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Bitcoin Draws Premium in Argentina and Hong Kong Amid Sell-Off

Image associée

Interesting article from Bloomberg showing that people/investors are willing to pay a premium when the geopolitical or monetary situation in their respective countries is worsening.

This is the ultimate sign that Bitcoin is a hedge against risks. Government & Currency Wise.

Here are some extracts of this article.

In Argentina, where the peso plunged on election uncertainty, Bitcoin was recently trading for as much as $12,000 on LocalBitcoins.com, a peer-to-peer platform, or 10% higher than on many international crypto exchanges. The token was trading at about a 4% premium in Hong Kong, where continued anti-government protests are raising fears of retaliation.

  • “Bitcoin is becoming the asset of last resort in areas of extreme currency devaluation and political uncertainty,” said Rayne Steinberg, chief executive officer at Los Angeles-based crypto hedge fund Arca. *
  • “In the last week alone, Bitcoin is up approximately 50% against the Argentine peso and trading at a significant premium on local exchanges. And they are not alone, joining the ranks of Venezuela, Hong Kong and Turkey who have also experienced similar shocks.”

The premiums would seem to support the argument that Bitcoin is a means of protecting assets from plunges in local currencies and authoritarianism. Even so, the cryptocurrency has tumbled about 8% to around $10,890 this week, increasing the risk for investors in troubled nations of moving from one volatile asset to another.

image.png

In the past month many advocates have been pointing to the increased negative correlation with U.S. equities as proof that investors were turning to Bitcoin as a haven. That narrative proved to unravel this week as the inverse relationship broke down.

And you, What would you do if you were in Argentina or Hong-Kong at this very moment?

Bond Analysis Report 8/14/19 – More Upside To Come On The 30 Yr Bond

The yield for the longest-dated Treasury bond is now a hair’s breadth away from plumbing its lowest level in history.

Investors said the $22 trillion U.S. government debt market was now approaching this key milestone on a combination of factors including the growing world of negative-yielding government bonds, expectations for Fed easing spurred by rising recession concerns, and the absence of inflation pressures.

The 30-year Treasury bond yield TMUBMUSD30Y, +1.26% ended at 2.13% on Monday, following a relentless rally in long-term government bonds in the past few weeks. The 30-year yield is only a few basis points away from its all-time low set in July 2016, when it touched 2.09% after the U.K. voted to leave the European Union.

Source

So what’s the significance of the 30 year bond yield reaching all-time lows? 

Well Interest rates and bond prices are inversely correlated, meaning when one goes up, the other goes down. 

Because a bond’s payout is fixed, as interest rates go up, the existing bond becomes less attractive because people want to buy the new bond that pays more interest.  So to make the existing bond more attractive, the value of that existing bond decreases.

And as the global and US economy continue to slow down, Fed Powell won’t have any choice, but to lower rates again…possible two more times this year.  So I personally expect the 30 year bond to continue to go up in value.

The chart suggests price will move higher to the monthly supply at 174’00.

This post is my personal opinion. I’m not a financial advisor, this isn’t financial advise. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Lyft Thinks They Are Slick, Short The Stock Now

Back in late March Lyft made their debut on the stock exchanged and opened at $72 per share. Lyft is now down 18% since its IPO.  Despite the positive earnings last week, which included raising their full-year outlook, Lyft has further downside.  There have been countless questions and discussions surrounding Lyft’s business model.

 In fiscal 2019, Lyft expects to generate revenue of at least $3.47 billion with an adjusted EBITDA loss of $850 million to $875 million. In 2018, Lyft’s EBITDA’s loss was around $850 million.  Thus, Lyft may never make a profit, nor do they have a clear path to profitability.

But here is why I think Lyft is a short now.  During their earnings announcement last week, where they reported raised their full-year outlook, Lyft said they are cutting down their lock-out period from late Sept. to Aug 19th.

“The lock-up period is scheduled to end on September 24, 2019, which falls within the Company’s quarterly blackout period that commences at the end of the day on August 31, 2019,” the company said in the filing. “Therefore, in accordance with the lock-up agreements with the underwriters, the lock-up period will end at the open of trading on August 19, 2019, which is ten trading days prior to the commencement of the Company’s quarterly blackout period. The Company will also release the market standoff agreements when the lock-up period expires.”

Lyft expects that about 257.6 million shares of Class A common stock may become eligible for sale in the public market beginning August 19. This includes about 12.8 million of Class B shares of common stock converted into Class A stock.

Newly public companies are typically subject to a lock-up period preventing insiders including founders, directors and other employees from selling their shares for a designated period of time. The restriction is intended in large part to prevent these investors from injecting large numbers of shares into the market, which could send stock prices lower by quickly increasing supply.

Source

So there are about 274 million shares outstanding.  The founders, institutions that bought a stake in the company before going public want to cash out.  We are talking about potentially diluting the float (float is the number of shares actually available for trading) by almost 100%.

August 19th simply becomes a supply and demand issues, very similar to the supply and demand issues on Steem.  It’s way too expensive to short the stock by borrowing shares due to the borrowing rates, which was once 100%.  Thus, the best way to short Lyft is through options.  But give yourself so time for the trade to work.  The leap options, January 2012 options are too illiquid.  But the January 2020 put options gives one plenty of time for the trade to work, which also includes time for an additional two earnings report (which may not meet expectations).

So if you think Lyft will at least test the lows within the next five months,

Consider buying some January 2020 put options with a strike price at $50, but first ensure its liquid enough.

This post is my personal opinion. I’m not a financial advisor, this isn’t financial advise. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

♻️ 3 Recent Examples of Corporates Which are Working to Counter Climate Risks ♻️

Big Money Starts to Dump Stocks That Pose Climate Risks (Bloomberg)

Image associée
  • As climate change related risks are becoming more pronounced, major investment firms have been increasingly pushing companies to address these risks and their role in exacerbating them.
  • This year, almost every major public oil company faced at least one shareholder resolution involving climate change, with proposals winning record support.
  • While most asset managers prefer engagement to divestment, frustration over fruitless discussion and resolutions has also led to a growing divestment campaign.
  • Earlier this year, Legal & General Investment Management (LGIM) reduced its stake in oil giant Exxon by US$300m, using its remaining stake to vote against the reappointment Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Darren Woods.

Analysis and Comments

  • The whole debate around divestment vs engagement is a potentially divisive one – not so much among asset managers but in discussions with asset owners and particularly retail investors.
  • Over the last few years, it has been interesting to watch the shift in focus, as the engagers have increasingly honed in on the stranded asset risk across a whole range of industries, which has real and tangible implications for value.

Google pledges carbon-neutral shipping, recycled plastic for all devices (Reuters)

Résultat de recherche d'images pour "google devices"
  • Google announced beginning of the week that it would neutralize carbon emissions from delivering consumer hardware by 2020, and include recycled plastics in each of its products by 2022.
  • According to Anna Meegan, the company’s head of sustainability for its devices and services unit, the company’s transport-related carbon emissions per unit fell 40% in 2018 as it increased the use of ships rather than planes in transport.
  • Currently three out of nine products for which the company discloses details online contain recycled plastic (ranging from 20-42%) – which trails behind hardware rival Apple’s sustainability efforts.  

Analysis and Comments

  • The trend may be slow, but for those companies that sell high profile products such as Apple & Google, the pressure to show their green credentials appears to be growing.
  • It is not clear how Google will fully “neutralise carbon emissions from delivery” – initially it looks as if at least part of the solution will be via carbon credits (which will gradually become more & more expensive to buy).
  • Hence longer term, this increase in carbon crédits price could be providing an incentive for the transport sector to accelerate its own shift to low carbon.

Diageo spends £180m on greener African operations (FT)

Résultat de recherche d'images pour "diageo"
  • British spirits maker Diageo is investing £180m into green energy and water recovery solutions such as biomass boilers, solar installations and water recycling systems at 11 of its breweries across Africa.
  • The investment is the company’s largest environmental investment in a decade, and will include £50m in upfront capital for solar, water treatment and biomass equipment, as well as £130m in long-term supply and maintenance contracts.
  • The company’s ultimate goal is to become 100% green and it plans to half its water usage and GHG emissions by 2020 as part of a group-wide commitment. It is also increasing its focus on sourcing locally in, with 78% of agricultural materials used in its 12 breweries across Africa currently sourced from local farmers.

Analysis and Comments

  • Africa contributes c. 13% of Diageo’s global turnover and about half of the company’s beer sales, and a minimum of 20 of the company’s African production facilities are in so-called “water-stressed locations”.
  • Unsurprisingly, water is an essential ingredient in all of Diageo’s brands (90%+ of beer and 60% of spirits) and the company has thus far been able to achieve a c.44% improvement in water efficiency between 2009 and 2018.
  • According to new data from WRI’s Aqueduct tools, 17 countries (including Africa) – home to one quarter of the world’s population – face extremely high levels of baseline water stress, as water withdrawals globally have more than doubled since the 1960s.
  • Of the 17 most water-stressed countries,12 are in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA), where growing demand and climate change are pushing already constrained countries even further into extreme stress.
  • According to the World Bank, this region has the greatest expected economic losses from climate-related water scarcity (c. 6-14% of GDP by 2050), stressing the importance of pursuing SDG 6 – ensuring the availability and sustainable management of water and sanitation for all.
Résultat de recherche d'images pour "diageo solar panel"

At what stage does it become Stupid to Buy Too Much Bitcoin?

 

This is a question which I am asking myself with increasing frequency, especially since the start of Q3 2019.

When I first started investing in crypto, I thought that I knew the answer: more than about 2% of your portfolio value in crypto is a bad idea.

I have been an adherent of the ” invest 1% of your net worth in crypto” principle. It makes sense: you’re putting in an affordable amount, an amount that you can lose without significantly disadvantaging your life, and an amount that is enough to significantly grow your wealth if BTC really takes off.

But now I am doubting that logic.

Reality has been hitting uncomfortably close to home this month. My portfolio value is growing, but only in my local currency.

I like a diverse portfolio, and mine is fairly diverse, but still rather traditional in construction. Over 50% of my investments are still sitting in an array of high-yield local fiat vehicles. 20 years ago this would have been a recipe for success – it’s most certainly how I was taught and what I was always advised to do. In fact, it’s still what financial advisers would recommend. The last time I consulted and invested through a finance professional was less than a year ago, and that’s still very much the tune that he was singing.

Perhaps because I am from Generation X it’s hard for me to think outside those terms. To me a cushion of growing fiat money still represents “safety”. I imagine that it’s possibly easier for younger people to think outside the traditional box in this regard, though the mainstream advice which they would be getting is probably much the same as what I get.

My crypto holdings have gained value this year (despite the bad altcoin market), my shares (which I streamlined mainly towards precious metals over the course of the last year) have done excellently and my physical precious metals holdings are finally waking up and making me money. Thanks to those, and some growth of my fiat, I have seen rapid growth of my wealth – but mainly in local terms. The sad truth is that with so much value in fiat, I am struggling to gain value in USD at all. As fast as I gain value in crypto and metals, my fiat depreciates against the dollar, and because I have most of my wealth in fiat, even a small depreciation costs me a lot.

I’ve grown my wealth by 20% in the last 6 months – in local currency, but only by 10% in USD. I know that sounds good (hell, most pro investors would kill for that), but I’m not happy with it, and here’s why:

Sitting with so much fiat I am very exposed to market fluctuations based on the political and economic situation of my home country and of the world in general. Two weeks ago my 10% USD gain was a 15% gain. I lost about 5% of my entire portfolio value (in USD) within two weeks – DESPITE climbs in crypto and precious metals. That’s a scary reminder of just how fast my portfolio can devalue. It also shows how the more volatile assets like crypto are not alone in their power to rapidly eat into the value of your portfolio when they turn bearish.

There is another consideration: The general trend of precious metals prices is an upwards one: they increase in value against USD. The general trend of my local currency is the exact opposite. Normally this doesn’t matter too much, as the interest I can gain on fiat holdings negates their devaluation and still makes me a small profit, but this is no longer the case.

At this stage you may wonder: “why not just transfer your fiat holdings into USD then?” Well, it’s inconvenient and a little costly to do so. I still need fiat for my daily transactions, so I still need a local fiat buffer. But the real reason is that USD doesn’t look healthy in the long-term either.

As many of us have been predicting for some time now, the economic house of cards that the world is built upon has become exceptionally fragile. It’s precariously balanced on a base made up of a trade war, a weakening and splitting European economic bloc, negative interest rates, quantitative easing and lending rate cuts, spiralling national debt which dwarfs GDP, and derivatives, derivatives and more derivatives. Options, futures, funds, shorts – everything BUT the underlying assets. The financial world is dealing in so many assets with zero inherent value, that the underlying assets themselves no longer even feature! And they have the gall to criticise crypto for having “no inherent value”…  (which I can prove is false)

The collapse of fiat structures is looking uncomfortable close, closer and possibly more severe than I even had imagined. At this stage I doubt that this will be the end of fiat as we know it. Unfortunately, this is all happening a little too early for crypto to just step in and pick up the slack, crypto adoption has not yet reached that level of mainstream use and trust. This means that fiat will rise again and that it will probably only be after the following big crash that crypto picks up the slack.

However…

It’s not to say that that following big crash won’t happen soon after the one which is about to happen. It’s hardly been a decade since the last semi-decent sized market crash. With another one already on the cards, it is clear that the entire shaky system is just rebuilding itself on its former ruins each time – thereby creating an increasingly shaky base – and consequently guaranteeing that each successive crash will not be too far off. In addition to this, each crash of fiat, its related markets and its plethora of derivative assets is another boost for cryptocurrencies.

Even mainstream investors can now see that Bitcoin is fast becoming a replacement for Gold, or at least an alternative to it. This is not to say that Bitcoin won’t dip in price when markets crash, but like most BTC dips, that will be a temporary one – a desperate rush out of stored value in order to try to prop up the failing fiat-based assets. It’s ludicrously stupid and doomed to fail, but it happens; just take a look at what happened to the prices of precious metals in 2008: Gold lost 30% of its value, Silver lost 60%, Platinum lost 67%. Admittedly most bounced back within a year – faster and harder than the stock markets did.

Don’t get me wrong, I still support investing in Gold (and other precious metals). My macroeconomic opinion of the 2008 crash was that it was more a correction than a crash. The problem with such a correction is that it delays the inevitable: the BIG crash will still happen – only now it’s going to be even more severe when it does. As I said earlier, I don’t know if what we’re seeing now is the start of such a crash, or perhaps just another mini-crash/correction.

Either way, I’m scared to still have so much money sitting in fiat. It’s only a matter of time before the American markets give that one big sneeze – the one from which all other markets will catch a cold – or perhaps a disease far more serious. Looking at my portfolio now, I can’t help but think that the assets which are generally seen as “risky” today, are probably more “safe”. For crypto this is still tricky to say: as much as I love crypto, I’m hesitant to throw more than the recommended 1% into it, 2% maximum. Thanks to the growth of crypto, I’m already way past that mark, I’m now well into the 20% territory. Is that too much, or is it not enough?

Precious metals are a little easier, especially Gold. The chance of Gold losing its millennia old store-of-value status is practically zero. For this reason I will probably increase my holdings in precious metals and decrease those in fiat. Simultaneously I will look to increase my crypto holdings by a similar amount. Yes, crypto remains risky, but is it really riskier than fiat?

In a world of inflationary assets, only those with finite supply can be considered consistent long-term stores of value. I’m not a trader, so I’m not after short-term gains or volatile markets, I’m after long-term growth. For now it looks as if precious metals and crypto offer me the best chances of that; not only good returns, but also relative safety compared to fiat – as unconventional as that may sound and as contrary as it may be to my education in such matters.

At this stage it’s worth asking the question: “What about property?” I think that’s a valid question, but I don’t believe that it is the answer to my dilemma. In times of plenty (as we have enjoyed for the last decade), property is one of the things which balloons in value. I watched the price of my own home race upwards pre-2008, then I watched the market pop and the value of my house stagnated for about a decade. Only in the last two or three years has it suddenly climbed again. Remember that the 2008 crash is largely blamed on factors including the unsustainable property price bubble. Already I can see that property prices are suffering in my area. Houses which are for sale just don’t sell, sellers are slashing prices by large two-digit percentages. Rental properties stand open as people rather downgrade their lifestyles than pay such exorbitant prices. The housing market is in trouble – itself an indication that the next crash is already actually underway.

Property IS limited. There will always be demand for it, thanks to a growing human population. BUT it is overvalued, and a price crash will probably be rather severe. It takes a long time for property prices to recover from a crash – people don’t emerge from a depression with a wad of cash to splurge on an expensive house. I would rather not be in property during such an event. For the nimble trader with cash at hand, a few great property deals should become available at the worst point of the crash – but that’s beyond the scope of this post.

So what now?

Truth be told, I was on the verge of shifting money out of fiat two weeks ago. Unfortunately for me, I was a few days too late. I watched helplessly as Bitcoin roared back into quintiple digits territory, Gold shot to new 6-year highs and my local currency dropped like a stone – all simultaneously of course.

This leaves me in the old catch-22 situation: buy high or wait for a dip that may never come?

To make things even worse, Bitcoin is riding a very non-committal path along the top of my diagonal Fib retracement levels. It’s giving no clear indication of whether it will drop again (as I hope it will), or it it will shoot off to a new 2019 high.

Made by Bit Brain with TradingView

 

 

Looking carefully at the market, I would say that exceptionally poor altcoin sentiment may well indicate that crypto sentiment as a whole is poor and that BTC should drop lower. Conversely, the global fiat fears could kick BTC higher and ignite a bull run at any time. I’m leaning slightly towards there being another dip. The little dashed line you see on the chart is an alert which I have set at $9350, my current buy price (subject to change). Whether we will reach that mark or not, I do not know. Perhaps BTC will reach it and drop far lower – in which case I will probably buy like a maniac. For now I consider my previous BTC post to still be valid – so I still think that I can get my BTC dip.

Once I do buy, whether low or high, I will probably convert a fair amount of my BTC into altcoins (diversified altcoins). I’m a firm believer in buying when there is blood in the streets. As a value investor, altcoins look like a great buying opportunity to me now, possibly the greatest buying opportunity I’ve ever seen. To hedge this bet I will probably leave about 50% of what I buy in BTC. BTC may not grow like the alts when things are going well, but it is the most secure and durable of the cryptocurrencies, and it will weather any further price drops better than what the altcoins will. With BTC dominance at over 68%, I can’t see altcoins getting left behind for much longer- hence I am keen to get money into them NOW! This CoinGecko “Top 100 coins” chart illustrates the extent of BTC dominance:

From https://www.coingecko.com/en/global_charts

 

 

Where I come from we call that “unsustainable”. Sorry BTC maximalists – your coin is great – but so are many altcoins.

Similarly, when it comes to buying metals, I may look at alternatives to Gold. Like with BTC, I will put more into Gold than the other metals, but I almost certainly buy more of the higher ROI potential Silver and/or Platinum. Much of that also depends on how close to spot price I can get on each asset, and also on some local laws and regulations which affect precious metals trading, especially the taxation thereon.

Conclusion

As you can see, this most was mainly just me thinking out loud. I apologise if there is no specific actionable information and if it is more opinion than fact or hard analysis. Also, much of it is specific to my situation. However, I believe that parts of this post will pertain to most if not all of you, and that you should be asking yourselves similar questions and have similar concerns. I have no doubt that we shall still see large financial changes, call them “upsets” within our lifetimes. We will probably see a few such events. I believe that the scarce resources such as Bitcoin, Gold and property are good assets to hold for the long-term, depending greatly on local conditions and on when you buy them. It is now my immediate goal to increase my scarce asset holdings and decrease my fiat holdings as soon as I can. If a dip does not come soon, then I will be forced to start DCAing into such assets at higher prices.

The world has changed and fiat is no longer the safe asset it once was. The rate of this change is surprising even to me – a staunch anti-fiat campaigner. I am acting accordingly. I suggest you seek qualified advice in doing something along similar lines.

Yours in anything that isn’t fiat-based
Bit Brain

“The secret to success: find out where people are going and get there first” 

~ Mark Twain

“Crypto does not require institutional investment to succeed; institutions require crypto investments to remain successful” 

~ Bit Brain

Bit Brain recommends:

Crypto Exchanges:





? Daily Crypto News, August, 13th?

  • China’s PBOC Says Its Own Cryptocurrency Is ‘Close’ to Release ;
  • SEC Delays Decisions on 3 Bitcoin ETF Proposals ;
  • Brave Browser Sees 1,200% Increase of Registered Publishers Over Year ;
  • XRP Price Crashes by 40% on Beaxy Exchange After Coordinated Sell-Off ;
  • Binance’s Trust Wallet Releases Desktop App for MacOS
  • ? Daily Crypto Calendar, August, 13th?
  • STEEM Trading Update

Welcome to the Daily Crypto News: A complete Press Review, Coin Calendar and Trading Analysis. Enjoy!

? China’s PBOC Says Its Own Cryptocurrency Is ‘Close’ to Release

The People’s Bank of China is “close” to issuing its own cryptocurrency, according to a senior official.

The bank’s researchers have been working intensively since last year to develop systems, and the cryptocurrency is “close to being out,” Mu Changchun, deputy director of the PBOC’s payments department, said at an event held by China Finance 40 Forum over the weekend in Yichun, Heilongjiang. He didn’t give specifics on the timing.

Mu repeated the PBOC’s intention that the digital currency would replace M0, or cash in circulation, rather than M2, which would generate credit and impact monetary policy. The digital currency would also support the yuan’s circulation and internationalization, he said.

? SEC Delays Decisions on 3 Bitcoin ETF Proposals

The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) delayed making a decision on three bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) proposals Monday.


The ETFs, proposed earlier this year by asset managers Bitwise Asset Management, VanEck/SolidX and Wilshire Phoenix, and filed with exchanges NYSE Arca and Cboe BZX, are all seeking to become the first such investment vehicle based on bitcoin.


The filings were published in the Federal Register in February and June, kicking off the legally-mandated 240-day clock on a final decision.

? Brave Browser Sees 1,200% Increase of Registered Publishers Over Year

The number of publishers using the blockchain-based decentralized browser Brave has increased by 1,200% over the past year, industry-focused news outlet Decrypt reported on Aug. 11.

According to data from BATGrowth — a website that monitors Brave browser adoption — the number of Brave Rewards publishers were 18,931 in July, 2018, while its current number is more than 230,000 at press time.

29,278 website publishers including the Washington Post and Smithsonian Magazine, 17,417 Twitter publishers, 2,917 Reddit publishers, 166,698 YouTube publishers and over 12,000 Twitch publishers use the Brave Reward program.

Earlier in August, Brave announced a feature for tipping content creators on Twitter with its native Basic Attention Tokens (BAT). The announcement also listed a number of features associated with the tipping service, including setting up regularly recurring tips as well as a mechanism for tweeting at a tipped creator to tell them how to claim their donation.

? XRP Price Crashes by 40% on Beaxy Exchange After Coordinated Sell-Off

Newly-launched cryptocurrency exchange Beaxy has suspended trading after some users deliberately crashed the price of altcoin Ripple (XRP). 


XRP/BTC dips 40%


According to a blog post and social media messages, beginning on Aug. 12, Beaxy experienced a sudden surge in XRP trading volumes, with a huge sell-off reducing XRP/BTC to 40% of its price on other exchanges.


“As a result and precaution, we are temporarily halting all trading activity and withdrawals across the exchange as we investigate,” the blog post reads.

XRP/BTC 3-day trade volume on Beaxy

? Binance’s Trust Wallet Releases Desktop App for MacOS

The Binance-owned digital currency wallet, Trust Wallet, has released a desktop application for macOS.


The team behind Trust Wallet announced the development in a tweet today, Aug. 12, also revealing that the wallet will be available in the Mac App Store shortly.


In a series of tweets, Trust Wallet founder Viktor Radchenko disclosed that support for Linux will be launched next week. Radchenko further said that the main challenge for the team now is to port Trust Wallet to Windows, which they have ostensibly not done yet. Radchenko also noted that most desktop crypto users — around 75% — are on Windows.

image.png

? Daily Crypto Calendar, August, 13th?

Bethereum will hold the 10th AMA with the Core Team! The AMA will take place on August 13th at 2pm GMT+2 on our telegram channel.

Bitsdaq Listing

Second mainstream merchant, Phone House, joins UTRUST family.

“Our Bank Account Marketplace is going to be released on Wednesday, August 14!”

“International Conference on Block Chain & Data Science” in Tokyo, Japan from August 14-15.

image.png

STEEM Trading Update by my friend @cryptopassion

Here is the chart of yersterday :

STEEMUSD.jpg

Here is the current chart :

STEEMUSD.jpg

Today the STEEM still progressed in the direction of the resistance line around 0.21$ but we have been rejected after a touch on the pink mobile line (MMA50). When this mobile line is broken, it means that the trend is reset. The fact that we didn’t break it now can be considered that we are still in bearish trend at short term, even with the last bounce. SO let’s see if we will finish to break it or if the drop will come back.

image.png

Last Updates

image.png

Join this new Free To Play on the STEEM Platform !