MTL technical analysis

MTL seen from the temporality of 1D we can observe that the current structure has formed a bullish pennant and the major figure shows an inverted SHS, a reversal pattern of trend, in the chart above I have indicated the pennant through the diagonals in light blue, while the diagonals of trend and horizontal supports are in dark blue, previously the price made an upward journey recovering the support located at 0.000035 and consolidate above that level, it would be expected that the price continues its upward path, currently the candles are testing the diagonal of the bearish wedge within the pennant, if we fail to make the break in the current situation, we could expect a reversal to the diagonal greater, approximately within the price range of 348 – 358, to then have a pullback to break the resistance of the figure and reach our pennant target, which is at 485, I have also pointed out in the chart above the SHS target, which is higher located at 629.

MTL seen from the temporality of 4H we can observe more closely the current movement of the candles, we can observe how it has tested the resistance of the descending wedge, within the circles I have pointed out the important points that we should always take into account in a trend, the third circle has not yet been completed, so I mentioned earlier that we could see a reversal to the diagonal that would end the down cycle and look for the break.

In conclusion, MTL has a good enough chart to trade, the major figures are bullish, the price has recovered an important level, located above the previous LL, the neck line I have indicated in the chart with purple color, in the short term we could see fulfilled the objective of the pennant, found resistance in the neck line, so we should see another accumulation to go for the objective of the SHS achieving the breakage of the neck line first. I recommend to be very attentive to the action of the price in 4H and the closing in 1D, also always be attentive to the movement of BTC, since any strong movement can affect the market of the alts.

As I always say, you have to be aware of the movement, invalidations can occur, there is no 100% reliable analysis, take your own precautions when trading.

You can follow me on Twitter:

STEEM: we should have hit the bottom already…

yep, I know what you think right now… this may be just another post trying to bring positive vibes on our beloved STEEM… but definitely, no matter which pair you check right now compared with STEEM, all of them are showing signs of reversal according to a DIVERGENCE on the Daily RSI.

For me the most important currently is to compare STEEM vs BITCOIN on the daily chart and this is what we see today:

During one month STEEM has been ranging between 1550 and 1800 Satoshis, with a light descending trend in overall but with a clear divergence on the RSI

Same is happening if you compare the second most important pair, STEEM vs ETHEREUM:

…and also STEEM vs BINANCE COIN:

The conclusion that I get by observing these three charts and respective divergences on RSI is that STEEM is timidly getting stronger in front of their competitors. worth to say that just around one month ago, STEEM was placed on the 88th position of the Total Market Cap….

… while today, even if the total cap of STEEM has decreased since then, we can see STEEM at the 79th and sometimes reaching below that place:

We can also see that change of trendline if we compare STEEM vs USD:

The price of STEEM is ranging between 0.16 and 0.19 USD since weeks already, RSI is also behaving very similar to the other pairs but, of course, the way the price is decreasing here, in USD, depends at the 95% I would say, to what is going to do BITCOIN in the coming days…

If BTC falls, which is very likely according to my expectations, the complete altcoin market will suffer another hit versus the dollar, included STEEM as well…

…the only thing different here is that STEEM may have reached its bottom versus BITCOIN while others not…


Disclaimer: This is just my personal point of view, please, do your own assessment and act consequently. Neither this post nor myself is responsible of any of your profit/losses obtained as a result of this information.

DIY Breaking out a fireplace – The Finale!

After a long time and copious amounts of work and time I managed to get the kitchen finished. I would not say that I am super happy with the result, but much of the worst parts are hidden by a cupboard so it’s not noticeable how bad a job I did with the plastering…

When my wife explained to my mother-in-law I was taking a photo for a blog, she insisted that she had to be in the photo, so there she is, posing in her kitchen!

With all the soot that was on the wall, every coat of paint I put on would end up with the outline of the inside of the fireplace bleeding through. I had no choice but to keep applying layer after layer of undercoat, so that when I painted with the final paint it would not be so obvious.

Here you can see it extended all the way up to the roof and was obvious from any angle. After the above photo was taken I turned my attention to the bathroom (as can be seen in my other posts) so neglected to take more photo’s of my progress in the kitchen.

I tried to optimise my time by running between the two, applying a coat of paint in the kitchen, then going back to do work in the bathroom, whilst the paint dried. I would then take lunch at some point, then paint another coat in the kitchen and go carry on with the work in the bathroom.

Skip forward to after having painted and tiled. Yes, those are a different colour, These are leftovers from the bathroom. I did try find similar tiles at the hardware store, but it’s nigh on impossible to match tiles that are years old with something in the store now.Most of the tiles would be covered by the cupboard and my mother-in-law is not a person who will blow up because tiles don’t match, thankfully.

I tried to match the space as well as possible, given that the tiles were different sizes I tried to find the best compromise. It turned out ok I think.

If you look hard enough you can still see parts where it is off-white. Thankfully standing in the kitchen it’s not nearly as obvious as in the pictures.

With some furniture in, its still noticeable, but not nearly as glaring as without.

Most important of all, my mother-in-law is happy with the result, this in turn makes my wife happy and you know what they say;

Happy wife happy life!

Buying BTC for Investors – Current Market

The market remains lacklustre, but relatively predictable. I’ve had more success with recent BTC price predictions than what I normally have – which gives me added confidence in my current buying strategy. This post explains that strategy.

It’s no secret that I have had BTC buy orders in the $8000s for a good few weeks now, if not months. I constantly check the charts and update my TA in order to ensure that my buy orders remain valid. At the moment, I am happy that they are set at the right prices. I will now explain why:

Firstly, take note that I have done away with my regular diagonal Fib levels for the time being. As the bullish price action drew to a close, so those levels started to lose their relevance. The nature of the current market correction is such that diagonal Fib levels no longer a reliable means of price prediction. Obviously this will change at a later date, but for now I find no value in using them.

I predicted a BTC reversal of fortunes and a price drop over the weekend (on Twitter and in the TIMM Trading Pits). That price reversal/drop occurred late on Friday.

Calling the price turnaround was not hard, the TA was pretty clear. What is still unclear for now, is whether BTC is in a bearish converging triangle or a negative channel. Fortunately this doesn’t matter much – as the outcomes of the two are fairly similar – at least for investors.

Below we can clearly see how BTC respected the top of the channel/triangle and became negative – a trend which should now continue for the remainder of the working week, possibly longer.

Made by Bit Brain with TradingView

It could be that the top of my channel/triangle is not correct (because I have excluded short-term outlier candles), but thanks to the latest data, it looks as if making the top of such a channel/triangle less steep does not tie in with the observed price movement data. The upper limiting line which I have created ties in nicely with the bottom of the channel, i.e. it runs parallel to it, giving credence to my theory that what looks like a triangle may still be a channel.

Made by Bit Brain with TradingView

Channel or not, we are seeing support at $9500 – giving credence to my theory that BTC may be in a triangle despite looking as if it is in a channel. Looking at the bigger picture, I see no reason why BTC can’t be in a triangle within a channel – which I now believe is actually the most likely state of affairs.

Upon reaching support at $9500, I believe there is a good chance that support will not hold (as indicated on the chart below). Perhaps I’m wrong and it will hold. Perhaps BTC will bounce back up to the top of the triangle, before turning negative again. Much like I said in my post a week ago, other indicators such as trading volume and various momentum indicators show that a positive breakout for BTC is very unlikely at this stage. What this means is: if BTC does not break downwards through the bottom of the triangle this time, then it will probably do so the next time it tests the $9500 support level.

Made by Bit Brain with TradingView

Looking at the chart above in more detail, we can see a historical support level exists between roughly $8100 and $7500. Provided that BTC price does break lower, I expect this support level to arrest the drop in price. Should it fail to do so, then price should stop dropping when it reaches the bottom of the channel – roughly at $7000 (that price changes over time due to the downwards slope of the channel).

So where should an investor look for a buy point?

Bit Brain’s BTC Buying Tactics

There is a risk that BTC hits the bottom of the triangle, and then bounces back upwards, never to return so low again. Chances of this happening are slight, but not negligible. For this reason it may be a good idea to buy at the turnaround point of $9500. I am making $9500 an “Optional Buy Point’ for myself. 

If BTC price decline slows significantly as it approaches $9500, I will assume that it does not have the momentum to break through, and will set a buy order just North of $9500 to avoid missing out on the dip. This will not be a big order – perhaps about 20% of my allocated funds – because there is still a fair chance that price will drop lower later on.

However, if BTC approaches $9500 at speed, chances are that it will shatter the support there. In such a scenario I will not buy at $9500, instead I will wait to buy in the $8000s, as I have been for the last couple of months. Since there are no other meaningful support levels in the area, I will not buy in the low $9000s. If BTC does break downwards through $9500, it should hit the $8000s – which is where I will start buying (as indicated on the chart below).

Made by Bit Brain with TradingView

“Buy Zone 1” is my main buying zone, it lies between $9000 and $8100. I plan to spend 60% of my allocated BTC buying funds there – with the option of spending more if it looks like BTC won’t go any lower than $8000. I have buy orders at around $8900, $8500 and $8200 – these vary as my local currency fluctuates against the dollar, so I have to adjust them from time to time. At $8100 we once again encounter historical support – so that is where I stop buying.

Should BTC break through that support, I will be ready to pick it up at prices of between $7400 and $7000. This is “Buy Zone 2”. $7000 is the bottom of the channel (at least for now). If BTC fails to reach Buy Zone 2, then I will spend all of my BTC buying funds as the price moves back upwards through “Buy Zone 1”.

I do not see a scenario where BTC will drop below $7000. Firstly, because $7000 is the bottom of the channel, but secondly (and probably more importantly), because BTC can’t drop below $7000 without breaking through the Long-term Base Trendline. (as seen below).

Made by Bit Brain with TradingView

The Long-Term Base Trendline is four years old and well established. It is highly unlikely that BTC can remain below the level of this trendline for very long. As a side note: I believe this trendline to be a measure of BTC adoption as well as the baseline from which any rally is launched. Interestingly, if I’m right about that, it means that reaching the trendline indicates that there is no hype in the market at that time.

If BTC does break though the long-term trendline, it will become incredibly unstable and likely to bounce back fast and hard. It also means that I will be willing to place even more money into it – money I will rob from my normal fiat money savings accounts. Obviously this is risky and not something I would recommend for most people. I’m telling you what I will do under such circumstances, not what you should do. 

This unlikely buying opportunity is labelled “Unlikely Buy Zone” on the chart below.

Made by Bit Brain with TradingView

That rounds up my latest weekly look at BTC. As for the rest of the market: altcoins remain in decline – providing excellent buying opportunities for shrewd investors who are willing to do their homework. In the bigger picture, I watched in amazement late last week at how money floods out of stores of value and back into the fiat-based markets on the slightest little whiff of optimism wrt US/China trade talks. They’re not even building a house of cards anymore, they’re building a house of rice paper. And it’s starting to rain…

Yours in crypto

Bit Brain

All charts made by Bit Brain with TradingView

“The secret to success: find out where people are going and get there first” 

~ Mark Twain

“Crypto does not require institutional investment to succeed; institutions require crypto investments to remain successful” 

~ Bit Brain

Bit Brain recommends:

Crypto Exchanges:

? Daily Crypto News, September, 9th?

  • Crypto Exchange Binance.US to Launch ‘in the Coming Weeks’ ;
  • What (Most) Bitcoiners Love About Austrian Economics ;
  • Crypto and the Latency Arms Race: Towards Speed Bumps and OTC Trading ;
  • World’s ‘First’ Blockchain Smartphone to Become Available in New Market ;
  • Bitcoin Price: Will Another Drop Below $10K Open the Door to $8.5K? ;
  • ? Daily Crypto Calendar, September, 9th?
  • STEEM Trading Update

Welcome to the Daily Crypto News: A complete Press Review, Coin Calendar and Trading Analysis. Enjoy!

? Crypto Exchange Binance.US to Launch ‘in the Coming Weeks’

Major cryptocurrency exchange Binance’s United States-based branch Binance.US will launch in the coming weeks, preceded by Know Your Customer (KYC) registration a few days earlier.

According to a Medium post published by Binance.US on Sept. 6, while the launch of the trading platform itself is expected in the following weeks, KYC onboarding will start a few days earlier. The aim of this is to ensure that users will have time to verify their accounts and deposit their funds.

?What (Most) Bitcoiners Love About Austrian Economics

Bitcoin is an innovative amalgamation of pre-existing technologies and the creation of new ones that has lead to an entirely new form of money. However, for many, the support for the world’s first digital currency is based primarily on ideological preferences.

In this article, you will discover why a significant amount of Bitcoiners also love Austrian Economics.

What is Austrian Economics?
Austrian Economics is a school of thought that originated in Vienna, Austria. Though influenced by works from earlier times, the work considered to be the foundation of this economic school of thought is Carl Menger’s 1871 book ‘Principles of Economics.’ In 1949, another notable name within the Austrian school, Ludwig Mises, published the book ‘Nationalokonomie,’ which provides an overview of the principles governing the economists who identify under this label.

At the time of its publication, Mises’s book was received unfavorably by other leading economists who had already made a turn towards Keynesian economics, following the devastating effects of the world wars. Austrian Economics was losing the ideological war, with Keynesian Economics significantly influencing global economics especially after the Bretton Woods Conference of 1944 where the International Monetary Fund (IMF) was created. The IMF played a major role in the global post-war monetary system, establishing gold and the dollar as the standard and greatly influencing the U.S.’s position in global politics.

? Crypto and the Latency Arms Race: Towards Speed Bumps and OTC Trading

Matthew Trudeau, chief strategy officer of ErisX, offered a thoughtful response last month to a CoinDesk article about high-frequency trading in crypto. In short, CoinDesk reported that features linked to high-frequency trading in conventional markets were making an entry on crypto exchanges and that this might be bad news for retail investors.

While I agree with Trudeau that, in general, “automated market making and arbitrage strategies create greater efficiency in the market,” I disagree with his assertion that applying the conventional markets’ microstructure blueprint will improve liquidity in crypto.

I will explain below that, pushed to their limit, the benefits of speed brought about by electronification actually impair market liquidity as they morph into latency arbitrage. It is inevitable that crypto markets become much faster, but there is a significant risk that some exchanges overshoot and end up hurting their customer base, re-learning the lessons of the conventional latency wars a little too late. Those who do will lose market share to electronic OTC liquidity providers and alternative microstructures, which I will present in this introductory post.

? World’s ‘First’ Blockchain Smartphone to Become Available in New Market

Finney, the world’s purportedly first blockchain-enabled smartphone, will soon be available for purchase in Bangladesh.
According to a report by local newspaper The Daily Star on Sept. 9, the Bangladesh Telecommunication Regulatory

Commission approved the phone for import in August and it will be available on the Bangladeshi market in October.

Mobile Phones in Bangladesh
Finney’s launch in Bangladesh comes amid a trend of growing smartphone ownership in the country. According to a 2018 report from global research firm GSMA Intelligence, by 2025, 75% of the population (138 million) will have smartphones, while 41% (73 million) will be mobile internet subscribers.

Per GSMA, the increasingly urbanized population has been buying more smartphones as cheaper devices come to market, and in this regard, Finney’s price is more comparable with high-end phones available in Bangladesh. Finney debuted last year with a cost of $999, while the Samsung Galaxy S10 is available on local phone market MobileDokan for 74,900 taka ($894). 

? Bitcoin Price: Will Another Drop Below $10K Open the Door to $8.5K?

Last Friday Bitcoin (BTC) price marched within just a few dollars reach of $11,000 and it seemed that the weekend would be a bullish one. The top digital asset was on the verge of leaping over the descending trendline of the massive wedge. A mysterious $1 billion Bitcoin transfer spotted by Whale Alert had some speculating that a whale or an institutional investor was moving funds into Bakkt’s custody service. 

Shortly after topping out at $10,938, Bitcoin sharply reversed course and traders were left to speculate whether Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s Bitcoin comments put a damper of the bullish price action. Or perhaps the advent of Bakkt’s (physically delivered) Bitcoin futures contracts was repeating the CBOE/CME Bitcoin futures product that launched to much hype right at the peak of the 2017 monster rally. 

Let’s take a look at the current price action and see if we can determine what Bitcoin is up to.


? Daily Crypto Calendar, September, 9th?

VEX (VEX/KRW, VEX/USDT) trading pairs. Deposits starting from Monday, 15:00 KST. Available for trading from Wednesday, 15:00 KST.

“Eager to learn more about @ConfluxChain & our partnership? Join our AMA with them on Sep.9 at 4pm (GMT+7)”

“Equal will be burning 12 million EQL in the third phase of the burn cycle.”

“Our new fee structure begins September 9th, and offers fee reductions for holding as little as 50 MTL…”

“On 9th September, Zilliqa and @Infinito_Ltd look forward to hosting a joint AMA .”


STEEM Trading Update by my friend @cryptopassion

Here is the chart of yersterday :


Here is the current chart :


So as expected and predicted yesterday, we didn’t go test the 0.18$ before that the drop came back. We should go now in the direction of the lows on the STEEM. It is possible that we move in range between 0.18$ and 0.155$ before a break out in one direction. Let’s hope it won’t be a new drop and so a new low…


Last Updates


Join this new Free To Play on the STEEM Platform !

What a view

Early Saturday morning, I had woken up, could not sleep. It has been a very long week where I had worked pretty much 16 hour days all week, then we attended a festival on Friday night.

Even as tired as I was I could not sleep. So I got up, made myself a cup of coffee and decided to go set outside on our terrace and take in the view.

I took the above photo with my phone, so had to point it away from the sun, because of this you are missing the part I was most taken with, the sun was filtering through the trees, it looked amazing!

Not too long ago I would have looked out of my window at a street, not ugly as it was in a village with many old buildings, I just am so thankful that I get to live in a house with so many trees around me.

Later that day I took my eldest son and went to go see the Caramulo motor festival at the Caramulo car museum and got to see many cars and bikes I have never seen before here in Portugal.

Crypto Contest September 9: Status Report XXXII

In this report I will look how my analysis worked for the month of July 2019. There were 31 contests in July. I have already paid out / upvoted all of them. The analysis was correct six times, wrong 11 times and the cryptocurrency was in a range 14 times.

The correct ones were the following:

  1. Crypto Contest July 11: Ankr Network
  2. Crypto Contest July 12: Ren
  3. Crypto Contest July 20: UnlimitedIP
  4. Crypto Contest July 22: Dusk Network
  5. Crypto Contest July 30: Cryptaur
  6. Crypto Contest July 31: MediBloc

In these contests the range option won:

  1. Crypto Contest July 1: iExec RLC
  2. Crypto Contest July 3: XMax
  3. Crypto Contest July 4: Synthetix Network Token
  4. Crypto Contest July 5: Yuan Chain Coin
  5. Crypto Contest July 6: Status Report XXX
  6. Crypto Contest July 7: Digitex Futures
  7. Crypto Contest July 13: Elrond
  8. Crypto Contest July 14: Acute Angle Cloud
  9. Crypto Contest July 15: Hxro
  10. Crypto Contest July 17: InvestDigital
  11. Crypto Contest July 18: Origo
  12. Crypto Contest July 21: Aeon
  13. Crypto Contest July 27: Clams
  14. Crypto Contest July 28: Abyss Token

In these contests the analysis was wrong:

  1. Crypto Contest July 2: Standard Tokenization Protocol
  2. Crypto Contest July 8: GXChain
  3. Crypto Contest July 9: ZB
  4. Crypto Contest July 10: Fantom
  5. Crypto Contest July 16: PTON
  6. Crypto Contest July 19: Genaro Network
  7. Crypto Contest July 23: Revain
  8. Crypto Contest July 24: Fusion
  9. Crypto Contest July 25: Maecenas
  10. Crypto Contest July 26: FOAM
  11. Crypto Contest July 29: Blue Whale EXchange

How did the previous months’ analysis go?

From April 1, 2017 to July 31, 2019, the analysis has been correct 175 times, wrong 181 times, and the cryptocurrency has been in a range 460 times.

How did the voters do in July 2019?

The voters (the most qualified votes (group or consensus)) were right 17 out of 31 times. So one could say that the crowd was right 55% of time.

Here is the list of contests that the most qualified votes (crowd) won:

  1. Crypto Contest July 1: iExec RLC
  2. Crypto Contest July 3: XMax
  3. Crypto Contest July 4: Synthetix Network Token
  4. Crypto Contest July 5: Yuan Chain Coin
  5. Crypto Contest July 6: Status Report XXX
  6. Crypto Contest July 7: Digitex Futures
  7. Crypto Contest July 13: Elrond
  8. Crypto Contest July 14: Acute Angle Cloud
  9. Crypto Contest July 15: Hxro
  10. Crypto Contest July 17: InvestDigital
  11. Crypto Contest July 18: Origo
  12. Crypto Contest July 19: Genaro Network
  13. Crypto Contest July 21: Aeon
  14. Crypto Contest July 23: Revain
  15. Crypto Contest July 25: Maecenas
  16. Crypto Contest July 27: Clams
  17. Crypto Contest July 28: Abyss Token

How did the voters do earlier?

Here is a table of crowd’s accuracy since February 2018.

July was the third worst month for this year so far.


Congratulations to the winners!

How can I vote? Where is the contest?

You can vote by following this link.